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CEE MARKETS-FX rebounds after Trump delays Iran strikes

ReutersMar 23, 2026 12:08 PM

- Central European currencies reversed course from early losses at midday on Monday, with the Hungarian forint leading gains, as U.S. President Donald Trump said he would postpone any strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure for five days.

The region's currencies had weakened earlier on Monday as Trump's ultimatum for Iran to allow shipping through the Strait of Hormuz or suffer attacks to its power plants was perceived by markets as an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, strengthening risk aversion and demand for the safe-haven dollar.

The postponement of the attack resulted in a surge in riskier assets and a drop in crude oil prices.

"The whole market, globally speaking, (rose) after the announcement that it seems the U.S. is just delaying the expected hit against Iran's energy infrastructure... and possibly this kind of news created some kind of global optimism," ING senior economist Peter Virovacz said.

"The zloty, the Czech crown, and also the Hungarian forint strengthened, so obviously this is some kind of sentiment move based on the news regarding... some de-escalation or at least avoidance of a further really strong escalation in the Middle East conflict."

The Hungarian forint EURHUF= led gains, rising 1% to 389 per euro by 1135 GMT on Monday.

The Polish zloty EURPLN= strengthened by 0.3% to 4.2620, while the Czech crown EURCZK= gained 0.3% to 24.4300 per euro.

Stock markets in the region also recovered losses. The main Warsaw index .WIG20 rose 1% after losing as much as 3.3% before Trump's announcement.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1235 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.4300

24.4960

+0.27%

-1.08%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

389.0000

393.0000

+1.03%

-1.19%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2620

4.2765

+0.34%

-1.09%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0985

5.0955

-0.06%

-0.09%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.3500

117.4500

+0.09%

-0.04%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2523.45

2540.0900

-0.66%

-6.04%

Budapest

.BUX

122319.92

122107.32

+0.17%

+10.17%

Warsaw

.WIG20

3283.00

3248.12

+1.07%

+3.11%

Bucharest

.BETI

27698.67

28036.31

-1.20%

+13.34%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

4.3440

0.1430

+175bps

+22bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

4.6090

0.1160

+191bps

+18bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.9380

0.0800

+195bps

+13bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.7360

0.0750

+215bps

+15bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.4990

0.1610

+280bps

+22bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.8780

0.0440

+289bps

+9bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

4.10

4.09

4.50

3.56

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

4.30

4.68

4.78

3.83

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
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