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CEE MARKETS-Currencies edge up with investors still firmly focused on Middle East

ReutersMar 16, 2026 11:11 AM

- Central European currencies were a touch stronger on Monday after falling over the last two weeks, with investors remaining firmly focused on the war in the Middle East, the dollar rate and oil prices.

Hungary's forint EURHUF= was 0.2% stronger at 391.60 per euro, stabilising after last week's volatility that saw it touch 400 to the euro.

"Everyone who wanted to close their positions has done so, and now the market is waiting to see what is going to happen, that is why apparently there is some calm...despite oil prices rising again," an FX trader in Budapest said.

Oil prices rose on the threat to Middle East oil facilities, despite U.S. President Donald Trump's call for nations to help safeguard the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global energy shipments. O/R

The Polish zloty EURPLN= added 0.2% and was trading at 4.2675 versus the euro.

"The market is slowly accepting that the conflict in the Persian Gulf is unlikely to end anytime soon. This translates into a limited risk appetite," Bank Millennium wrote in a note.

"In the absence of new information, volatility can be expected to be slightly lower than last week," they said.

Elsewhere, the Czech crown EURCZK= edged up 0.2% to trade at 24.433 to the euro ahead of a central bank rate meeting scheduled for Thursday.

Central Europe's bond yields have steadied at elevated levels, although shy of their recent highs.

"Markets appear to have shifted their focus not only to inflation, but also to fiscal costs and the degree of fiscal headroom countries can deploy to cushion the economic impact of high energy prices," Erste Group Bank said.

Stocks in the region weakened, with Budapest's exchange .BUX leading losses with a 1% fall. Warsaw .WIG20 was 0.4% lower while Prague .PX eased 0.3%.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1113 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.4330

24.4770

+0.18%

-1.09%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

391.6000

392.2500

+0.17%

-1.85%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2675

4.2750

+0.18%

-1.22%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0940

5.0955

+0.03%

+0.00%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.3200

117.4300

+0.09%

-0.02%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2508.31

2515.9500

-0.30%

-6.60%

Budapest

.BUX

120508.48

121754.84

-1.02%

+8.54%

Warsaw

.WIG20

3262.75

3274.54

-0.36%

+2.47%

Bucharest

.BETI

28169.36

28212.39

-0.15%

+15.26%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

4.1750

0.0330

+177bps

+5bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

4.5360

0.0370

+193bps

+6bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.9640

0.0320

+200bps

+4bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.5230

-0.0250

+212bps

-1bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.2010

-0.0090

+259bps

+1bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.7720

-0.0170

+281bps

-1bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.73

3.92

4.13

3.56

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

3.99

4.18

4.33

3.83

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
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