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Canada's MTY Food beats Q4 revenue estimates, swings to profit

ReutersFeb 19, 2026 11:15 AM


Overview

  • Canada restaurant franchisor's Q4 revenue rose, beating analyst expectations

  • Net income for Q4 improved significantly, reversing a loss from previous year

  • Company initiated strategic review process to enhance shareholder value


Outlook

  • MTY anticipates improvement in store openings pace in upcoming quarters

  • Company expects stability in normalized adjusted EBITDA margins across segments

  • MTY sees strong free cash flows into 2026, supported by lower capex


Result Drivers

  • GIFT CARD BREAKAGE - Segment profits and normalized adjusted EBITDA increased due to a one-time catch-up of gift card breakage income on unutilized gift cards

  • STORE OPENINGS - Net store openings of 19 locations contributed to positive growth, ending the year with 7,080 locations

  • FOREIGN EXCHANGE IMPACT - System sales increase partly due to positive foreign exchange fluctuations


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Beat

C$305.40 mln

C$282.08 mln (4 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

C$32.09 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

C$87.34 mln

Q4 Adjusted Free Cash Flow

C$46.18 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for MTY Food Group Inc is C$43.50, about 4.1% above its February 18 closing price of C$41.80

  • The stock recently traded at 10 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 8 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nGNXHRDjq

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