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CEE MARKETS-Central Europe's stocks, currencies rise after new Trump tariffs averted

ReutersJan 22, 2026 10:10 AM

- Central European stocks bounced and currencies firmed on Thursday after U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly stepped back from threats to impose tariffs as leverage to seize Greenland.

Tensions over Greenland have kept markets on edge, but news that there was agreement on a framework for a deal on ‌Denmark's autonomous territory and that new U.S. tariffs on European allies had been averted boosted sentiment.

"As far as the broader picture, I think that we're just playing TACO - the acronym that stands for Trump Always Chickens Out," said Piotr Bartkiewicz, an economist at Pekao.

"We have some sort of a settlement on Greenland that doesn't involve the use of force and it's probably very close to the status quo. So the risks of... further escalation in EU-US relations are off the table now, so we're back to more optimistic modes in markets."

Warsaw's blue-chip WIG 20 .WIG20 stock index was up 1.5%, while the main indices in Prague .PX and Budapest .BUX were up 1.2% and 1.1% respectively.

TRUMP TACO BOOSTS INVESTOR APPETITE

The Hungarian forint EURHUF= gained 0.2% against the euro to trade at 383.75, while the Polish zloty EURPLN= firmed 0.1% to 4.214, building on the previous session's gains.

"The relatively subdued rhetoric of the U.S. President on Greenland was interpreted by the market as a de‑escalation of tensions, leading to a strengthening of CEE currencies," Santander Bank Polska said in a note.

The Czech crown EURCZK= was a touch weaker at 24.33 but was holding near recent levels after falling at the start of the year.

"On the other hand, it should be appreciated that it has not been significantly shaken by previous significant sell-offs in stock markets," Czech bank CSOB said. Simply put, it is currently accepting global turbulence with relatively stoic calm."

In Prague, shares in Czech utility CEZ CEZP.PR rebounded for a second straight day following a 15% drop on Monday and Tuesday - its worst two-day run since 2008.

The reasons for CEZ's sharp fall were not completely clear, although market participants said a combination of a broker downgrade, jitters over the length of the state's proposed plans to buy out minority shareholders and flows shifting to Czech defence group CSG's 3.8 billion euro IPO may have contributed.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1028 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.3300

24.3250

-0.02%

-0.67%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

383.7500

384.5000

+0.20%

+0.16%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2140

4.2180

+0.09%

+0.04%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0952

5.0935

-0.03%

-0.02%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.3000

117.4000

+0.09%

+0.00%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Prague

.PX

2701.57

2670.6300

+1.16%

+0.59%

Budapest

.BUX

122652.62

121308.37

+1.11%

+10.47%

Warsaw

.WIG20

3311.60

3262.89

+1.49%

+4.01%

Bucharest

.BETI

26763.17

26310.95

+1.72%

+9.51%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.4340

0.0350

+133bps

+2bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.8460

0.0080

+138bps

+1bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.4490

-0.0160

+158bps

-1bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

3.5550

-0.0880

+145bps

-11bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.4490

-0.0490

+199bps

-5bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.1400

-0.0270

+227bps

-2bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.40

3.28

3.25

3.50

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

3.53

3.36

3.34

3.90

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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