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CEE MARKETS-Forint leads FX lower; CEZ shares fall over 3%

ReutersJan 19, 2026 12:08 PM

- Hungary's forint led losses among central European currencies on Monday, as investors reduced risk after U.S. President Donald Trump's threatened extra tariffs on goods imported from eight European nations until the U.S. was allowed to buy Greenland.

Markets turned more risk-averse amid the United States' aim to take over Greenland, a Danish territory, with tariff disputes raising worries over trade.

"I thought that Davos and comments from the central bankers would be the number one topic, but I think that we are back into geopolitics and Greenland," a Warsaw-based trader said.

A Budapest trader said statements on Greenland could change quickly, leaving uncertainty hanging in the markets. U.S. markets were also closed on Monday for a public holiday.

"Until we know what is going to happen in Greenland, there is not much investors can trade on," the trader said.

CURRENCIES CONTINUE RETREAT FROM LAST YEAR'S HIGHS

By 1128 GMT, the forint EURHUF= fell 0.3% to 386.20 to the euro, after rising for four consecutive sessions. The Polish zloty EURPLN= and the Czech crown EURCZK= eased less than 0.1%.

Currencies have fallen in the past month from multi-year or multi-month highs. Besides trade tensions, markets are also watching for central European policymakers' comments on interest rates, which have been on hold in most countries except Poland.

In Romania, the central bank meets on Monday, and a majority of analysts expect unchanged rates during the first half of the year.

Poland still has some room for monetary easing, and the next decision to cut interest rates could come as early as February or March, central bank governor Adam Glapinski said last week after decision-makers paused their loosening.

In Prague, the state-owned utility CEZ CEZP.PR shares fell more than 3%, on course for their biggest one-day drop since June 2024.

The fall comes after Industry Minister Karel Havlicek said that the state could buy out minority shareholders in the coming months. The process could take up to two years, he said, like the new government had flagged.

J&T Banka analyst Milan Lavicka said some investors may have hoped for a faster move by the government.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1228 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.2890

24.2810

-0.03%

-0.50%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

386.2000

385.0000

-0.31%

-0.48%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2260

4.2225

-0.08%

-0.25%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0915

5.0895

-0.04%

+0.05%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.2800

117.3800

+0.09%

+0.02%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2721.26

2758.3800

-1.35%

+1.33%

Budapest

.BUX

121491.97

122311.20

-0.67%

+9.42%

Warsaw

.WIG20

3252.64

3283.42

-0.94%

+2.16%

Bucharest

.BETI

27080.33

27375.08

-1.08%

+10.81%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.3930

-0.0730

+131bps

-3bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.8780

0.0380

+145bps

+6bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.4740

0.0320

+164bps

+4bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

3.6190

-0.1000

+154bps

-6bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.4760

-0.0420

+204bps

-2bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.1230

-0.0040

+229bps

+0bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.44

3.35

3.33

3.50

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

3.51

3.38

3.36

3.94

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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