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Analysts narrow Mexico growth forecast for 2025

ReutersDec 1, 2025 3:27 PM

- Private-sector analysts polled by Mexico's central bank lowered their expectations for economic growth this year to 0.40%, down from 0.50% in last month's forecast, the bank said on Monday.

Analysts also slightly lowered their forecast for the nation's economic growth for 2026 to 1.37% down from 1.40%.

Analysts also expect Mexico's peso currency to close the year at 18.70 pesos per dollar, stronger than their previous estimate but nevertheless predicting that the peso will ultimately end the year weaker than its current level.

October

November

Inflation, end year pct

2025

3.78

3.74

2026

3.81

3.90

Core inflation, end year

2025

4.22

4.25

2026

3.80

3.90

Economic growth, annual pct

2025

0.50

0.40

2026

1.40

1.37

Peso-dollar rate, end yr

2025

18.81

18.70

2026

19.50

19.26

Interbank lending rate

2025

7.00

7.00

2026

6.50

6.50

The survey of 42 analysts was taken between November 14-26. The values shown are medians.

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