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CEE MARKETS-Forint scales new 1-1/2-year high, buoyed by US sanctions waiver

ReutersNov 10, 2025 9:50 AM

- The forint EURHUF= firmed 0.4% to a fresh 1-1/2-year high to the euro on Monday, outperforming other central European currencies, after import-reliant Hungary secured an exemption from U.S. sanctions for using Russian energy.

With Hungary heavily reliant on Russian energy imports, Prime Minister Viktor Orban met with his longtime ally U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on Friday to press for a reprieve.

While a White House official said the exemption was for one year only, Hungarian officials say the waiver is indefinite. Orban, who faces an election next year, said without the deal energy costs would have surged, hitting the wider economy.

ING economists said the agreement, which also involves Hungary buying $600 million worth of U.S. liquefied natural gas and $700 million worth of military equipment based on State Department figures "should be good news for the markets."

"The Hungarian government won some time with this deal in Washington, so the carry traders can continue what they have been doing, and the forint can strengthen further," a Budapest-based currency trader said.

"This deal means carry traders can feel safe about a continued high base rate, and they can be sure that no sudden problem will arise so the forint's rate will not suddenly plunge."

The forint is leading gains among central European currencies this year, bolstered by the European Union's joint-highest 6.5% benchmark interest rate.

Orban also said Hungary had agreed on a financial shield with Washington to protect its currency and public finances, without giving further details.

The Polish zloty EURPLN= gained 0.15% in morning trade after rating agency S&P Global reaffirmed Poland's A- rating with a stable outlook on Friday, highlighting strong growth prospects in central Europe's largest economy.

"Given that the market had largely priced in a scenario where S&P changes Poland's rating outlook to negative this week, keeping Poland's rating and outlook unchanged will be slightly positive for the zloty exchange rate and Polish bond prices this week," Credit Agricole economists said.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1011 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.3130

24.3050

-0.03%

+3.69%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

383.1500

384.7500

+0.42%

+7.38%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2365

4.2430

+0.15%

+0.95%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0855

5.0868

+0.03%

-2.14%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.1400

117.1800

+0.03%

-0.16%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Prague

.PX

2441.46

2426.9100

+0.60%

+38.71%

Budapest

.BUX

108365.54

107306.66

+0.99%

+36.61%

Warsaw

.WIG20

3017.39

2970.61

+1.57%

+37.65%

Bucharest

.BETI

22814.23

22865.87

-0.23%

+36.44%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.5620

0.0160

+156bps

+0bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.9830

0.0150

+171bps

+0bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.5270

0.0170

+184bps

+0bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.2550

-0.0390

+225bps

-5bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.7420

-0.0050

+247bps

-2bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.3170

-0.0110

+263bps

-3bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.60

3.58

3.62

3.55

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

3.98

3.79

3.75

4.30

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

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