tradingkey.logo

CEE MARKETS-FX rattled by Russian sanctions, zloty falls from perch

ReutersOct 23, 2025 9:54 AM

- Poland's zloty retreated from a more than six-month high and other central European currencies fell on Thursday, as investors paused to assess the impact of new western sanctions on Russia.

Emerging market assets weakened on Thursday after the U.S. and the European Union ratcheted up pressure on Russia, casting a shadow over the region that has posted robust returns this year.

Prospects of a major breakthrough in resolving the conflict had bolstered hopes among investors this month, but those expectations quickly faded after a planned summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin was put on hold.

The Polish zloty EURPLN= had slipped 0.3% against the euro to 4.2360 by 0909 GMT, after it hit its highest level since April at 4.2230 in the previous session.

POLISH RATES SHOW DIFFERENT DIRECTION

ING analysts said "the market shows that PLN has some potential, although rates point rather in the opposite direction".

Poland's central bank cut its key interest rate for a fourth time this year in October citing easing inflation and, while saying future decisions would be data-driven, it did not rule out more easing in November.

"We suspect that the support (for the zloty) may have been a consequence of capital inflows into the domestic debt market, including before today's Ministry of Finance auction," analysts at state-run development bank BGK said.

According to a Warsaw-based currency dealer, Wednesday's high took place at low volumes and may have come on the back of exporters hedging their positions as the zloty firmed.

HUNGARY LOCAL MARKETS CLOSED

The Czech crown EURCZK= traded 0.2% lower at 24.34 per euro, range-trading near its strongest level since September 2023, hit earlier this month.

"Despite the introduction of sanctions against Russia, the Czech crown is not leaving the vicinity around 24.30 EUR/CZK," analysts at lender CSOB noted.

"Very slight losses could be attributed to the slightly worse mood on the stock markets, but the relative stability of the euro-dollar ultimately did not provide much opportunity for more active trading in euro-crown," they added.

Elsewhere, the Hungarian forint EURHUF= fell 0.4% to 390.35 per euro, as local markets were closed for a long weekend. It remained near its strongest level in almost 17 months, also touched in early October.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1109 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.3220

24.2950

-0.11%

+3.65%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

390.3500

388.7000

-0.42%

+5.40%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2360

4.2250

-0.26%

+0.96%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.0832

5.0810

-0.04%

-2.10%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.1900

117.2300

+0.03%

-0.20%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Prague

.PX

2336.63

2340.8300

-0.18%

+32.75%

Budapest

.BUX

104182.83

103424.15

+0.73%

+31.33%

Warsaw

.WIG20

2972.71

2912.05

+2.08%

+35.62%

Bucharest

.BETI

22372.17

21993.37

+1.72%

+33.80%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.4810

0.0210

+155bps

+1bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.8330

NULL

+166bps

#VALUE!

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.3190

0.0140

+174bps

-1bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.0570

-0.1000

+213bps

-11bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.7620

0.0060

+259bps

-1bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.3550

0.0060

+277bps

-1bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.53

3.50

3.50

3.52

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

4.14

3.82

3.71

4.49

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets:
All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/

Spot FX rates
Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX=
Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX=

Other news and reports
World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE
Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY
Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

Related Articles

KeyAI