EUR/USD is approaching tomorrow’s US-Russia summit with good momentum, and the option market does not seem to be pricing in major volatility risk, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
"Today, the eurozone calendar includes the second 2Q GDP release. The advanced print was 0.1% QoQ, although markets gave it limited weight given the heavy tariff distortion. Eurozone industrial production figures for June are also published today: expectations are for a soft print after Germany reported a surprise -3.6% YoY figure."
"One-week EUR/USD implied volatility is at the bottom of its recent range and in line with historical volatility. EUR/USD may stabilise around 1.170 for today, with a balance of risks still skewed to the upside."