CORRECTED-Analysts tick up Mexico year-end inflation forecast
MEXICO CITY, July 1 (Reuters) - Private sector analysts see Mexico's annual headline inflation rate finishing 2025 at 4.00%, a touch above their forecast a month earlier and at the upper limit of the central bank's target range, a Bank of Mexico survey showed on Tuesday.
The Bank of Mexico targets inflation at 3%, plus or minus a percentage point.
Analysts also expect Mexico's peso currency to close the year at 20.13 pesos per dollar, stronger than their previous estimate in May but still forecasting that the peso will end the year weaker than its current level.
May | June | |
Inflation, end year pct | ||
2025 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
2026 | 3.77 | 3.74 |
Core inflation, end year | ||
2025 | 3.98 | 4.00 |
2026 | 3.70 | 3.71 |
Economic growth, annual pct | ||
2025 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
2026 | 1.41 | 1.40 |
Peso-dollar rate, end yr | ||
2025 | 20.50 | 20.13 |
2026 | 21.00 | 20.70 |
Interbank lending rate | ||
2025 | 7.50 | 7.50 |
2026 | 7.00 | 6.88 |
The survey of 42 analysts was taken between June 16-26. The values shown are medians.
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