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FOREX-Yen shrugs off tepid bond demand, dollar firms on trade deal hopes

ReutersMay 28, 2025 8:18 AM
  • Japanese bond yields whipsawed in recent weeks
  • US dollar seeing bouts of strength on upbeat economic data
  • Investors fret about fiscal health of major economies

By Ankur Banerjee, Johann M Cherian and Linda Pasquini

- Japan's yen was steady on Wednesday as ructions in the bond market kept the spotlight on the fiscal health of major economies, while the dollar was firm due to upbeat consumer confidence data and hopes for more U.S. trade deals.

The yen JPY=EBS slid slightly at 144.14 per dollar after dropping 1% on Tuesday following a report by Reuters that Japan will consider trimming issuance of super-long bonds after a sharp rise in yields in recent weeks.

The focus remained on the Japanese bond market, with demand at an auction of Japan's longest-tenor bonds on Wednesday falling to the lowest since July.

"Despite the news flow, there does appear to be some certain level of resistance in dollar-yen," Rabobank strategist Jane Foley said, in a sign that the market may not want to see the yen further weaken against the dollar for now.

The yen has gained nearly 9% so far in 2025 due to broad dollar weakness and safe-haven flows as investors flee U.S. assets in the wake of the erratic trade policies under President Donald Trump that have roiled markets.

DATA WATCH

The dollar index =USD, which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was last 0.08% higher at 99.608 but is down 8% for the year as investors look for alternatives to U.S. assets.

The euro EUR=EBS was broadly flat at $1.1321 after dropping 0.5% on Tuesday as a bout of dollar buying swept the markets amid signs of possible trade deals and data showing U.S. consumer confidence in May was much better-than-expected.

Still, new orders for key U.S.-manufactured capital goods plunged by the most in six months in April as the flip-flopping tariff salvos take a toll on the economy and businesses, data showed on Tuesday.

"More positive data surprises are needed to rebuild confidence in U.S. growth, and deficit worries aren't disappearing anytime soon," ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole wrote in a note.

"When adding the themes of de-dollarisation and Trump's plans for a weaker dollar in the longer run, we still think the greenback rallies can fade from here."

The dollar was also supported by Trump's decision to delay higher tariffs on the European Union over the weekend.

EU officials have asked the bloc's leading companies and CEOs for details of their U.S. investment plans, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters, as Brussels prepares to advance trade talks with Washington.

Sterling GBP=D3 last bought $1.3504 but stayed close to the three-year high touched on Monday.

Investors will watch out for the April Personal Consumption Expenditure report - the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge - on Friday that could help gauge the impact of Trump's trade policies.

The Australian dollar AUD= last fetched $0.6445 as data showed consumer inflation held steady in April, leaving hopes for more interest rate cuts mostly intact.

The New Zealand dollar NZD= firmed 0.37% to $0.5971 after the country's central bank signalled it might be nearer to an end to easing than some in the market had hoped for as it cut rates by 25 bps as expected.

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