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CANADA FX DEBT-Canadian dollar climbs to five-month high on repatriation flows

ReutersApr 10, 2025 8:58 PM
  • Canadian dollar gains 0.6% against the greenback
  • Touches its strongest since November 25 at 1.3952
  • Price of oil settles 3.7% lower
  • 10-year yield rises 3.8 basis points

By Fergal Smith

- The Canadian dollar rose to a near five-month high against the greenback on Thursday as investors reduced their exposure to U.S. financial markets, anticipating that the global trade war could upend a period of outperformance for the American economy.

The loonie CAD= was trading 0.6% higher at 1.3995 per U.S. dollar, or 71.45 U.S. cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since November 25 at 1.3952.

"We're seeing a bit of repatriation out of U.S. assets," said Noah Buffam, an FX strategist at CIBC Capital Markets. "The market is reassessing how exceptional the U.S. is over a longer-term period."

Wall Street's main indexes gave back some of the previous day's sharp gains, while the U.S. dollar .DXY tumbled against a basket of major currencies.

On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he would temporarily lower new tariffs on many countries, even as he raised them further on goods from China.

The rally at the front-end of the U.S. yield curve has contributed to gains for the loonie, "with the market worrying about U.S. growth given these really high tariff rates on China," Buffam said.

Investors are pricing in as many as four interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by December, while just two cuts are expected from the Bank of Canada which has moved more aggressively than the Fed to this point in the easing campaign. 0#USDIRPR, 0#CADIRPR

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said he would convene a meeting of top cabinet colleagues on Friday to discuss the economic threat posed by U.S. tariffs.

The price of oil CLc1, one of Canada's major exports, settled 3.7% lower at $60.07 a barrel on the deepening U.S.-China trade war.

Canadian bond yields were mixed across a steeper curve, with the 10-year CA10YT=RR up 3.8 basis points at 3.242%.

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