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FOREX-US dollar edges higher against peers amid fresh tariff threats, ECB cut

ReutersJan 30, 2025 9:56 PM
  • U.S. economic growth below estimates in Q4
  • ECB cuts rates 25 basis points, as expected
  • Dollar index edges higher, euro dips

Updates headline and first paragraph, adds analyst quote

By Chibuike Oguh

- The U.S. dollar edged higher against some of its peers including the yen and euro on Thursday as markets weighed fresh tariff threats, slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth, and an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank.

President Donald Trump on Thursday said the United States will put a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, repeating his warning to the two countries which are top U.S. trade partners.

"When Trump says something is imminent, the market is reluctant to believe it or to fully embrace it until the orders are signed and the market was definitely caught off guard there," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive in Toronto.

Commerce Department data on Thursday showed the U.S. economy grew by an annualised 2.3% in the fourth quarter, slightly below analysts' expectations, amid weak business spending. Inflation edged higher, with the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rising 2.5%.

The ECB cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points, as widely expected, and left the door open to further cuts as concerns over a lacklustre economy supersede worries about persistent inflation.

The U.S. dollar jumped sharply against the Canadian dollar following Trump's comments. It was up 0.55% to C$1.45 per dollar.

The greenback weakened 0.54% to 154.36 against the Japanese yen JPY=EBS. Against the Swiss franc CHF=, the dollar strengthened 0.33% to 0.91. The euro EUR= reversed earlier gains and was down 0.24% at $1.0395.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.2% to 108.12.

"We did see that spike in the euro, but I was struck by (ECB President Christine) Largarde's comment, where she explicitly said 'we have not had a discussion on whether it's time to stop cutting interest rates,'" Button said.

The Fed on Wednesday left its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range, with officials removing the reference that inflation having "made progress" toward the Fed's 2% inflation goal.

By contrast, other central banks including Canada and Sweden both cut rates by a quarter point. Brazil's central bank hiked by a full percentage point to 13.25% overnight and flagged more to come.

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Thursday that Japan's central bank would continue to raise interest rates if the economy and prices move in line with the bank's forecasts.

"Traders have already sort of moved on from that Fed meeting, so they've bought at least another six weeks before having to make a decision probably or looking out toward April or May before we have the next live Fed meeting in my view," Button said.

Bitcoin BTC= gained 1.32% to $105,138.31. Ethereum ETH= rose 3.23% to $3,241.76.

Currency bid prices at 30 January​ 09:41 p.m. GMT

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Previous Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Dollar index

=USD

108.14

107.9

0.24%

-0.32%

108.25

107.5

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

1.0391

1.0422

-0.29%

0.37%

$1.0468

$1.0387

Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

154.33

155.335

-0.59%

-1.87%

154.895

153.83

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

160.36​

161.75

-0.86%

-1.75%

161.78

160.24

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.91

0.9068

0.36%

0.28%

0.9102

0.906

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

1.2419

1.2446

-0.18%

-0.67%

$1.2477

$1.2412​

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.4508

1.4422

0.6%

0.9%

1.4596

1.4395

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.6206

0.623

-0.37%

0.31%

$0.6242

$0.6199

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

0.9456

0.9448

0.08%

0.67%

0.9485

0.9439

Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8362

0.8367

-0.06%

1.08%

0.8389

0.836

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

0.5632

0.5658

-0.37%

0.74%

$0.5667

0.5629

Dollar/Norway

NOK=

11.325​

11.2833

0.37%

-0.36%

11.3385

11.2634

Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

11.771

11.762

0.07%

0.01%

11.798

11.743

Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

11.045

10.9958

0.45%

0.25%

11.0628

10.9739

Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

11.478

11.4621

0.14%

0.1%

11.4936

11.4475

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
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