BUDAPEST, Jan 23 (Reuters) - Central European currencies were steady on Thursday with the Polish zloty holding on to the gains that drove it to nearly five-year highs the previous day, helped by a weakening dollar.
Stock markets were also subdued after rising earlier this week, with investors eyeing further clues on U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff plans. The dollar .DXY traded in narrow ranges against other major currencies on Thursday.
Adding to his threats on Chinese imports, Trump said Mexico and Canada could face levies of around 25% by Feb. 1. He also promised duties on European imports, without elaborating further. These tariffs could hurt Central Europe where car makers have been an important driver of economic growth.
"The zloty was supported by global factors in the form of a weaker U.S. dollar in recent days, but also by investors' growing appetite for risk, after a relatively calm start to Donald Trump's presidency compared to their previous expectations," PKO BP said in a note.
The zloty, which on Wednesday had firmed to 4.239 to the euro, its strongest since February 2020, was flat at 4.2265 EURPLN=.
Bank of America said in a note that the zloty should be supported by the weaker dollar, a hawkish central bank, and a positive current account and foreign investment inflows.
The zloty was the only central European currency to firm in 2024 as Poland's central bank held interest rates while others in the region eased policy.
The Hungarian forint EURHUF=, which was the region's laggard throughout 2024, eased 0.1% to 411.05 versus the euro, remaining vulnerable to changes in global sentiment after gaining earlier this week.
"The forint firmed past 411 to the euro, and we see a resistance level at between 411.50 and 412, while a support level is seen at around 409," brokerage Equilor said in a note.
Hungarian central bank Deputy Governor Barnabas Virag on Wednesday dismissed market concerns about fiscal loosening and easier monetary policy amid leadership changes this year as "not realistic", as he warned of a possible rise in 2025 inflation.
Prime Minister Viktor Orban nominated Finance Minister Mihaly Varga as Hungary's next central bank governor from March, turning to an ally as he seeks to revive the economy before a 2026 election.
The Czech crown EURCZK= was stable at 25.152 to the euro.
CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 0914 CET | |||||
CURRENCIES | Latest trade | Previous close | Daily change | Change in 2025 | |
Czech crown | EURCZK= | 25.1520 | 25.1500 | -0.01% | +0.23% |
Hungary forint | EURHUF= | 411.0500 | 410.5500 | -0.12% | +0.09% |
Polish zloty | EURPLN= | 4.2265 | 4.2265 | +0.00% | +1.19% |
Romanian leu | EURRON= | 4.9755 | 4.9764 | +0.02% | +0.02% |
Serbian dinar | EURRSD= | 116.9800 | 117.1800 | +0.17% | -0.03% |
Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET | |||||
| |||||
STOCKS | Latest | Previous close | Daily change | Change in 2025 | |
Prague | .PX | 1861.39 | 1862.3800 | -0.05% | +5.75% |
Budapest | .BUX | 85209.68 | 85643.97 | -0.51% | +7.42% |
Warsaw | .WIG20 | 2361.16 | 2362.75 | -0.07% | +7.72% |
Bucharest | .BETI | 17028.46 | 17028.46 | +0.00% | +1.84% |
| |||||
BONDS | Yield (bid) | Yield change | Spread vs Bund | Daily change in spread | |
Czech Rep 2-year | CZ2YT=RR | 3.2510 | -0.0010 | +103bps | +1bps |
Czech Rep 5-year | CZ5YT=RR | 3.7160 | NULL | +142bps | #VALUE! |
Czech Rep 10-year | CZ10YT=RR | 4.0360 | -0.0070 | +154bps | +0bps |
Poland 2-year | PL2YT=RR | 5.1960 | 0.0050 | +297bps | +2bps |
Poland 5-year | PL5YT=RR | 5.6320 | -0.0220 | +333bps | -2bps |
Poland 10-year | PL10YT=RR | 5.9150 | 0.0230 | +342bps | +3bps |
| |||||
FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS | 3x6 | 6x9 | 9x12 | 3M interbank | |
Czech Rep | CZKFRA, PRIBOR= | 3.64 | 3.48 | 3.39 | 3.87 |
Hungary | HUFFRA, BUBOR= | 6.98 | 6.37 | 6.16 | 6.50 |
Poland | PLNFRA, WIBOR= | 5.73 | 5.41 | 5.07 | 5.86 |
Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices |
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