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BUZZ-USD/JPY bid, basing US yields help, wait on for Trump

ReutersJan 20, 2025 12:26 AM

  • USD/JPY bid, US yields up from low Friday helps, wait on for Trump

  • Pre-Trump position-adjustments, USD better bid across board

  • Trump to be more concessionary on tariffs, talks with China's Xi

  • TikTok case in point, restores service, Trump to order delay in law

  • USD/JPY 156.31-56 EBS so far in Asia, spurts above 156.37 high Friday

  • To top of still descending but very wide 155.72-156.59 hourly Ichi cloud

  • 55-HMA in cloud at 155.84, hourly kijun too just below at 155.77

  • US Treasury 2s @4.282%, 10s @4.622%, JGB 2s @0.684%, 10s @1.200%

  • JGB short yields at recent highs, suggest BOJ likely to hike this week

  • Longer-term rates well off highs and JGB-Treasury differentials narrower

  • Expectations Fed to resume rate cuts in March help narrow differentials

  • Some USD/JPY option expiries today at 155.00, 156.40, not massive

  • Massive tomorrow though between 155.95-156.05 $2.5 bln, 156.45-50 $1.2 bln

  • Japanese importer interest again at Tokyo fix, more bids eyed sub-156.00

  • Related comments nL1N3OD0RC, nL1N3OD0BJ, nL1N3OD0B3, nL1N3OD08M

  • And nL1N3OC0AC, also nL1N3OD0YP, on US data nL1N3OD0HS

  • US markets nL1N3OD0S0, nL1N3OD14H, nL4N3OD157, nL1N3OD03K

  • On Trump nL1N3OD0KF, nL1N3OD0YC, nL2N3OF047, nL2N3OF06Q

  • For more click on FXBUZ

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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