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FOREX-Dollar weakens after CPI shows cooling inflation; yen firms on BOJ talk

ReutersJan 15, 2025 4:10 PM

Dollar slips after CPI print

Yen appreciates on rising prospect of BOJ hike

British inflation unexpectedly slows, boosting sterling

China's yuan holds close to daily downside limit

Updates to US morning, adds analyst comment, FX table

By Laura Matthews and Alun John

- The dollar weakened against major peers on Wednesday after cooler-than-expected data eased fears that inflation was accelerating and increased the chances the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates twice this year.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics showed consumer prices rose 2.9% in the 12 months through December, in line with economists' expectations. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, came in as expected, but lower than the previous month.

Softer core reading coupled with producer prices data on Tuesday triggered an immediate decline in the dollar.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against six other units, fell 0.2% to 109.02, pulling it further away from the 26-month high of 110.17 it reached on Monday.

"While markets had previously scaled back expectations for Fed easing, they responded to this data by pricing in more rate cuts for this year," said Uto Shinohara, senior investment strategist at Mesirow Currency Management in Chicago.

"The dollar has shown heightened sensitivity to economic news in both directions recently ... as well as from recent tariff rhetoric."

President-elect Donald Trump returns to the White House next week, and analysts expect some of his policies to boost growth as well as increase price pressures.

Meanwhile the dollar was last down 1% on the Japanese yen JPY=EBS at 156.41 yen.

The yen strengthened on Wednesday after comments from the Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, who said the central bank would raise interest rates and adjust the degree of monetary support if improvements in the economy and price conditions continue.

Meanwhile, a cooling in British inflation offered relief to the pound. Data showed inflation slowed unexpectedly last month and core measures of price growth - tracked by the Bank of England - fell more sharply - welcome news for finance minister Rachel Reeves after a market selloff.

The British pound GBP=D3 was up 0.3% at $1.2247 against the dollar in the U.S. morning session.

Helen Given, associate director of trading at Monex USA in Washington, said the outsized moves in the pound and yen pairs are driven more by news out of the other nations rather than the U.S.

"We don't see it as likely, though, that Fed easing expectations will move forward any further at least until the central bank can get a handle on what the incoming administration's trade and economic policies will do to domestic inflation, but we could start to get some answers on scope and scale of these policies as soon as next week," Given said.

Elsewhere, the euro slipped 0.1% to $1.0299 EUR=EBS.

Eyes were also on China, where the onshore yuan CNY=CFXS was slightly flat on the day and was last at 7.3308 per dollar, overall maintaining a generally weak bias despite a persistently firmer than expected official guidance fix and signs of tightness in domestic money markets.

Currency bid prices at 15 January​ 03:53 p.m. GMT

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Previous Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Dollar index

=USD

109

109.2

-0.18%

0.47%

109.29

108.59

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

1.0301

1.0308

-0.06%

-0.49%

$1.0355

$1.0288

Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

156.38

157.895

-0.99%

-0.65%

158.065

155.985

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

161.11​

162.81

-1.04%

-1.3%

162.89

161.07

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.912

0.9122

0.01%

0.52%

0.9128

0.9077

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

1.2251

1.2217

0.31%

-2.02%

$1.2307

$1.2155​

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.4339

1.4349

-0.06%

-0.27%

1.4366

1.4303

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.6219

0.6195

0.43%

0.55%

$0.6247

$0.6181

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

0.9394

0.9402

-0.07%

0.01%

0.9413

0.9384

Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8407

0.8437

-0.36%

1.62%

0.845

0.8405

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

0.562

0.5604

0.29%

0.45%

$0.5651

0.5597

Dollar/Norway

NOK=

11.3232​

11.355

-0.28%

-0.41%

11.3901

11.2925

Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

11.6612

11.7058

-0.38%

-0.88%

11.736

11.6633

Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

11.1351

11.1568

-0.19%

1.07%

11.1938

11.0971

Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

11.4714

11.5128

-0.36%

0.04%

11.5255

11.4697

(Reporting by Laura Matthews in New York and Alun John in London; Additional reporting by Rae Wee in Singapore; editing by Louise Heavens, Mark Potter and Mark Heinrich)

((Laura.Matthews@thomsonreuters.com
Rae.Wee@thomsonreuters.com))

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
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