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BUZZ-USD/JPY on back foot after surge Friday, despite US rates

ReutersJan 14, 2025 12:13 AM

  • Despite higher US rates, USD/JPY on back foot since Friday

  • US rates higher yesterday before pushing down, Tsy 2s @3.375%, 10s @4.766%

  • USD/JPY 156.92-157.95 yesterday, off from 158.88 spike high Friday

  • Asia 157.13-47 EBS so far, closer to lows seen yesterday

  • IMM CTA data show market now short JPY, caution keeping USD/JPY capped?

  • Downside likely limited with US yields firm, range base around 156.00

  • Double bottom in area - 155.97/156.02 lows Dec 20/31, also 156.25 Jan 6

  • Japanese importer, maybe investor demand eyed into today's Tokyo fix

  • Tech resistance from 157.69 200-HMA, 55/100-HMAs above at 157.78/94

  • Option expiries today 155.80 $596 mln, 156.50 $800 mln, 157.00 $475 mln

  • And 157.60-85 total $444 mln, 158.00-10 total 376 mln

  • Related comments nL1N3O90QG, nL1N3O90DE, nL1N3O90AL, nL1N3O90A1

  • And nL1N3O909K, nL1N3O909L, nL1N3O401C, also nL1N3O90XD

  • US markets nL1N3O90TM, nL1N3O9132, nL4N3O9103, nL1N3O90LS

  • On the US economy nL1N3O50NH, nL1N3O90SE

  • On IMM CTA positioning nAQN2JXISX, for more click on FXBUZ

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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