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Aluminium: Bauxite export cap threatens supply – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that any relief from a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for Aluminium will likely be short‑lived.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Hungary: Inflation path stays contained – ING
ING’s Peter Virovacz notes that Hungary’s inflation accelerated in April but remained a positive surprise versus expectations, with headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 2.1% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
India: Monsoon risks and RBI stance – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao assesses how a projected below normal monsoon in India, linked to a strong El Niño, could affect growth and inflation.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Inflation pressures stay firm – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics expects April U.S. CPI to firm, with headline inflation rising toward 3.8% year-over-year and core near 2.9%.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
UK: War shock weighs on growth outlook – Nomura
Nomura’s analysts see the Iran war keeping UK inflation above target until mid-2027 and weakening the 2026 growth outlook beyond Q1. UK GDP growth slowed to 0.1% q-o-q in both Q3 and Q4 2025.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Fed's Goolsbee: Not a lot of evidence the job market is falling apart
In an interview with CNBC on Friday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said that the job market is "pretty stable."
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Germany: Industrial slump deepens with Middle East shock – ING
ING’s Carsten Brzeski highlights that German industrial production weakened further in March, with a 0.7% monthly decline leaving first-quarter output more than 1% below late 2025 levels.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Brent: Risk premium persists after Iran conflict – Commerzbank
Commerzbank strategists expect Brent to retain a significant risk premium even if a US–Iran agreement is reached and the Strait of Hormuz reopens.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance increased to -251.242B in April from previous -279.58B
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance increased to -251.242B in April from previous -279.58B
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
ECB: War-driven inflation keeps hikes in focus – Nomura
Nomura’s George Buckley and team argue that even a swift resolution to the US-Iran war and reopening of the Strait would not necessarily stop the European Central Bank (ECB) from raising rates in June.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
CAD: Gradual improvement expected in labour – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes that Canada lost 18,000 jobs in April, bringing total job losses in 2026 to 112,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 6.9%. Hours worked were flat and participation increased.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 48.2 in May
American consumer confidence is expected to have deflated in early May, as households have been growing more pessimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations down to 4.5% in May from previous 4.7%
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations down to 4.5% in May from previous 4.7%
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation declined to 3.4% in May from previous 3.5%
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation declined to 3.4% in May from previous 3.5%
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index climbed from previous 48.1 to 48.5 in May
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index climbed from previous 48.1 to 48.5 in May
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index below forecasts (49.5) in May: Actual (48.2)
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index below forecasts (49.5) in May: Actual (48.2)
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 1.3%, below expectations (1.4%) in March
United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 1.3%, below expectations (1.4%) in March
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Hiring recovery supports steady Fed – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that United States (US) employment rose by 115,000 in April, beating expectations and signaling a recovery after prior weakness. The six‑month average of job gains is picking up again, supported by strong corporate profits and favorable financing conditions.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
CEE FX: Diverging guidance caps upside – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that the Czech National Bank and National Bank of Poland kept rates unchanged but signalled different risk balances. He sees limited scope for further tightening in Czech Republic and a prolonged hold in Poland with conditional tightening risks.
EUR/HUF
USD/CZK
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
CAD: Softer jobs data supports on-hold BoC view – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that weaker Canadian employment in April, including job losses and a higher unemployment rate, is unlikely to bring the Bank of Canada (BoC) closer to rate cuts.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
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