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ECB: Expected to hold rates with hawkish risks – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to leave the deposit rate at 2.00%, reiterating a meeting-by-meeting approach without pre-committing on future moves. However, recent inflation expectations data raise the risk of a more hawkish press conference.Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 30
ECB: Oil shock complicates rate path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep rates unchanged today despite a hawkish bias after past late tightening. It warns that unresolved Gulf tensions in six weeks could make a future rate hike more contentious as growth risks rise.Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 30
Oil: Iran conflict keeps prices elevated – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team highlights that Brent has surged to around USD 124–126 per barrel as Iran-related tensions and a US naval blockade drive supply fears. They note Polymarket-implied odds of only a modest chance of normalised Hormuz traffic by end-May.Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 30
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