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ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 10K
Private-sector hiring in the US appears to have regained a bit of momentum early in March. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 10K jobs per week in the four weeks through March 7.Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
ECB's Sleijpen: Energy prices likely to become entrenched more quickly than in 2022
European Central Bank policymaker Olaf Sleijpen said on Tuesday that the rising energy prices are likely to become entrenched in wider economy more quickly than they did during the 2022 energy crisis, as reported by Reuters.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
EUR/HUF: Forint outlook tied to oil and politics – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts say EUR/HUF’s February decline stalled near 374 before a sharp rebound toward 400, with the 50‑DMA at 383/381 acting as key support. They expect possible consolidation between 383 and 396, warning that a break below support could revive the broader downtrend.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
Euro area: War impact weighs on outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Vincent Stamer notes that the Euro area composite PMI fell from 51.9 to 50.5 in March, with services weakening and manufacturing flattered by longer delivery times. He links this to the war in Iran, which is hurting expectations and lifting input prices.Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
GBP: Inflation stalling complicates BoE path – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects UK inflation to hold at 3.0% year-on-year in February, in line with the Bank of England (BoE) and market consensus. Core CPI is seen steady at 3.1%, with services easing but core goods ticking higher.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
HUF: War risk delays rate cuts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analyst Michael Pfister notes that despite low Hungarian inflation and February’s initial 25 bp cut, the Iran war has shifted priorities, with markets and the bank expecting the central bank of Hungary, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) to hold rates today.
BoJ: April hike expected after soft data – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes softer Japanese data, with composite PMI slipping and core CPI falling below target for the first time in four years, largely due to fuel subsidies. Despite this, PMIs show rising input prices and a weak Japanese Yen.Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
Equities: Cyclicals rebound as de-escalation hopes surface – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports a sharp rebound in global equities after US President Trump signalled negotiations and a five-day halt to strikes on Iranian energy assets. European indices reversed steep losses, while US benchmarks closed higher.Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 24
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