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Global trade: China extends port dominance – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Madhur Jha and Ethan Lester highlight that around 80% of global trade moves via sea routes, with Asia, and particularly China, increasingly dominant in port rankings and liner shipping connectivity.Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
FX carry: Conviction trades face funding risks – BNY
BNY’s EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu notes that FX risk appetite and carry trades have stayed resilient despite weaker global equities, with investors adding to overheld high-yielders such as MXN, BRL and PLN, and some low-yielding Asia-Pacific currencies.Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
US: Trade, capital flows and Donroe Doctrine – Rabobank
Rabobank analysts highlight new US-linked investment projects under Japan’s large trade framework, including LNG and Oil infrastructure, as evidence Washington can steer partner capital into US real assets rather than just stocks or bonds.Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
Fed: Data-driven cuts reshaped – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior US Strategist Philip Marey expects the FOMC to deliver three 25 bps cuts in 2026, but now sees the easing cycle starting in June rather than March. Stronger US labor market data have reduced the urgency for near-term easing, while softer CPI inflation supports cuts later in 2026.Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
CAD: Softer CPI lowers BoC reaction threshold – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts note that Canadian January CPI surprised slightly to the downside at 2.3% year-on-year, with core measures also easing. They argue the Bank of Canada is unlikely to overreact but say softer core momentum reduces the bar for policy response to future growth headwinds.
Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
US Durable Goods Orders contracted 1.4% in December
Durable Goods in the US dropped to $319.6 billion, or 1.4%, in December, the US Census Bureau reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 5.4% increase recorded in the previous month and surpassed market expectations for a 2.0% contraction.Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
Euro: EU integration and Sweden EMU talk support – Rabobank
Rabobank argues that the European Commission’s forthcoming push for a Savings and Investment Union and capital markets union, alongside Sweden’s possible reconsideration of EMU membership, are structurally supportive for the Euro.
Fxstreet
Wed, Feb 18
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