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European Central Bank: July risks reduced on softer data – Nordea
Nordea’s analysts argue that softer June inflation data should significantly lower the risk of another European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike in July.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales: 54482 (June) vs 51071
South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales: 54482 (June) vs 51071
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
BoE's Bailey: Rate cuts off the table at the moment
While speaking at a policy panel at the European Central Bank's (ECB) Forum on Central Banking, Bank of Governor (BoE) Andrew Bailey acknowledged that they have a softening economy and labour market.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Breaking: Fed Chair Warsh reiterates he is not going to give forward guidance
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Kevin Warsh reiterated that he will not be giving forward guidance on policy, while participating at a panel at the ECB Forum on Central Banking 2026.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 50.8 (June) vs 49.1
Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 50.8 (June) vs 49.1
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
US equities: AI-led earnings support – HSBC
HSBC analysts Willem Sels and Lucia Ku argue that concerns over mega IPOs and stretched valuations in US equities are offset by solid earnings growth across most S&P 500 sectors, driven by AI-related demand.
SPX500
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Euro: ECB rhetoric and Warsh risk guide downside – ING
Chris Turner at ING argues the ECB is unlikely to drop its tightening rhetoric yet, even if a second September hike might be a mistake.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States private sector employment rises 98K in June vs. 113K expected
Private sector employment in the United States grew by 98K in June, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 122K increase recorded in May and came in below the market expectation of 113K.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States ADP Employment Change below forecasts (113K) in June: Actual (98K)
United States ADP Employment Change below forecasts (113K) in June: Actual (98K)
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
US Dollar: Stronger outlook with steady Fed – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels and Lucia Ku highlight that the new Fed Chair’s hawkish tone supports expectations that US policy rates will stay unchanged through 2026 and 2027, reinforcing Dollar credibility.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
White House Adviser Hassett: It would be mistake to raise interest rates
White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said in a statement during the late European trading session on Wednesday that it would be a mistake for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise interest rates.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Euro area: Lower inflation tempers ECB pressure – Nordea
Nordea’s Anders Svendsen and Tuuli Koivu note that lower-than-expected Euro-area inflation in June reduces pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) and supports a wait-and-see stance for the July meeting.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States Challenger Job Cuts decline to 45,849 in June
United States (US)-based employers announced 45,849 job cuts in June, down 53% from the 97,006 cuts registered in May, Challenger, Gray & Christmas' latest report showed on Wednesday.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
ECB’s Wunsch: Would need stronger second-round effects to justify further tightening
The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and the head of Belgium's central bank, Pierre Wunsch, released by Econostream during the European trade on Wednesday, have signaled that he is not in favor of further monetary policy tightening.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
ECB’s Kocher: Next decisions will be either hike or hold
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said in the European trade on Wednesday that the next monetary policy move by the central bank will either be a hold or a hike, citing that higher wages could keep inflationary pressures elevated.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 0% (June 26) vs previous 1%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 0% (June 26) vs previous 1%
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
US Dollar: Labor data and confidence guide outlook – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists discuss several US indicators, expecting the June ISM Manufacturing index to edge down, while noting that JOLTS job openings remain elevated but likely overstated.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Hungarian Forint: Rally meets fiscal concerns – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists highlight that the HUF has delivered its strongest quarter since 2009, supported by a pro‑EU shift and expectations of renewed EU fund access. However, they warn that EUR/HUF is struggling to sustain breaks below 350 as fiscal risks emerge under PM Magyar.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States Challenger Job Cuts: 45.849K (June) vs previous 97.006K
United States Challenger Job Cuts: 45.849K (June) vs previous 97.006K
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Polish Zloty: Lower Polish inflation pressures PLN against Euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky notes Polish inflation fell to the National Bank of Poland’s 2.5% target, with broad price declines and stable core inflation. Markets have priced out hikes and begun to price cuts, which he says could pressure market rates and weaken the zloty.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
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