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Hungary: Low inflation complicates rate path – ING

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya note that Hungarian inflation fell to 1.4% year-on-year in February 2026, below consensus and their own optimistic forecast. Core inflation dropped to 2.1%, but rising energy costs, fuel prices and a weaker Forint threaten this benign picture.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

Sweden: Recovery view intact despite weak data – Nordea

Nordea’s Chief Analyst Torbjörn Isaksson highlights that Swedish GDP and production fell in January, driven by sharp declines in construction and manufacturing, while household consumption and services still grew.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

ECB: Conflict-driven energy shock shapes rate path – Nomura

Nomura’s Global Markets Research Team expects the ECB to keep rates on hold through 2026, assuming Brent and Dutch TTF futures fall back towards pre-conflict levels.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

NOK: Recent strength seen as temporary – Nordea

Nordea’s Senior Macro and FX Strategist Sara Midtgaard notes that higher Oil and gas prices plus Norges Bank’s daily NOK purchases have recently supported the Norwegian Krone, with a risk that EUR/NOK briefly drops to 11 in March.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) climbed from previous -8.4% to 1.7% in February

United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) climbed from previous -8.4% to 1.7% in February

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) came in at 4.09M, above expectations (3.89M) in February

United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) came in at 4.09M, above expectations (3.89M) in February

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

BoC: Front-end rates steady as conflict swings pricing – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Tim Parsons and Taylor Schleich note that volatility in Bank of Canada (BoC) expectations has risen with the Iran conflict, with markets briefly pricing 2026 hikes instead of cuts.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

United States Redbook Index (YoY) fell from previous 7% to 6.2% in March 6

United States Redbook Index (YoY) fell from previous 7% to 6.2% in March 6

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

GBP: BoE repricing supports currency near term – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists Shreyas Gopal and Sanjay Raja note that UK front-end rates have seen the largest hawkish repricing among G10 central banks, removing earlier dovish expectations for the Bank of England.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

ECB: Caution with softer tightening bets – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes that money markets scale back expectations for European Central Bank tightening.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 15.5K (February 14) vs 12.8K

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 15.5K (February 14) vs 12.8K

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

Oil: Volatility drives cross-asset pricing – HSBC

HSBC’s Willem Sels highlights that Oil remains the primary driver of global markets, with recent Brent swings between USD83 and USD120 underscoring extreme uncertainty.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

AUD: Resilience supports staying long – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes highlights the resilience of the Australian Dollar despite higher Oil prices and Australia’s heavy reliance on imported petroleum. He notes that speculative AUD longs have not been unwound and that AUD/USD has barely slipped since late February.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

USD: Range retest as crude risk premium fades – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that markets have sharply reduced the crude Oil war risk premium after comments from President Trump, triggering a pullback in the Dollar and a rally in global stocks and bonds.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

ECB’s Simkus: Important to stay calm for next policy meeting, don't overreact

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of Lithuania's central bank, Gediminas Simkus, commented on the bank’s monetary policy outlook in the face of the war in the Middle East.

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

Greece Industrial Production (YoY) rose from previous 3.9% to 5.3% in January

Greece Industrial Production (YoY) rose from previous 3.9% to 5.3% in January

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index below expectations (99.7) in February: Actual (98.8)

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index below expectations (99.7) in February: Actual (98.8)

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

Greece Consumer Price Index - Harmonized (YoY) increased to 3.1% in February from previous 2.9%

Greece Consumer Price Index - Harmonized (YoY) increased to 3.1% in February from previous 2.9%

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

Greece Consumer Price Index (YoY) up to 2.7% in February from previous 2.5%

Greece Consumer Price Index (YoY) up to 2.7% in February from previous 2.5%

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

Spain 9-Month Letras Auction increased to 2.164% from previous 2.015%

Spain 9-Month Letras Auction increased to 2.164% from previous 2.015%

Fxstreet

Tue, Mar 10

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