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BoC: Rates seen on extended hold – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep the overnight rate at 2.25% throughout 2026, despite markets pricing significant tightening.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
USD: Gradual decline as growth slows – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas strategists expect the US economy to grow above potential in 2026, with GDP at 2.9% and inflation at 3.0%, keeping the Federal Reserve on hold after three cuts in 2025. They project the Fed Funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% through 2026.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
US President Trump: Iran wants to make a deal badly, could be within five days or sooner
United States President Donald Trump told Fox Business Network on Monday that Iran wants to make a "deal badly," adding that a deal could be reached within five days or even sooner, per Reuters.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Fed's Miran: Policy outook remains for rate cuts
Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors member Stephan Miran told Bloomberg on Monday that they shouldn't make policy decisions on short-term headlines.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Fed's Goolsbee: Optimistic rates could go down by end-2026
In an interview with CNBC on Monday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said that they are currently in an intense moment with a lot in the balance.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
TTF gas: LNG shock ends surplus era – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Florence Schmit and Joe DeLaura argue the Ras Laffan strike and extended Hormuz closure have effectively ended the LNG glut, forcing a sharp repricing of TTF gas.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index declined to -0.11 in February from previous 0.18
United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index declined to -0.11 in February from previous 0.18
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
BoE: MPC to stay on hold through 2026 – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s UK team reports a sharp selloff in 10‑year gilts, with yields hitting 5% as markets priced in more BoE tightening. They see this as an overreaction and now expect the MPC to stay on hold through 2026 due to the energy shock.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) rose from previous -0.1% to 1% in January
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) rose from previous -0.1% to 1% in January
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) above expectations (3.1%) in January: Actual (5%)
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) above expectations (3.1%) in January: Actual (5%)
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Iran Fars News Agency: There are no direct communication with US nor through intermediaries
Citing sources with knowledge, Iran's Fars News agency reported that there are no direction communcations with the United Stats (US) nor through intermediaries, per Reuters.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
ECB: Market prices aggressive hikes on energy risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Hauke Siemßen highlights that hawkish ECB commentary and the Iran-related energy shock have pushed money markets to discount three full ECB rate hikes by year-end and an 80% probability of a first move in April.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Trump postpones military strikes on Iran's power plants - Reuters
United States (US) President Donald Trump instructs the Department of War to postpone military strikes on Iranian power plants.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
ECB’s Kazimir: Every future meeting is open and live
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS) Peter Kazimir delivers remarks on the monetary policy outlook during the European trading session on Monday.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Greece Current Account (YoY) climbed from previous €-3.862B to €-1.286B in January
Greece Current Account (YoY) climbed from previous €-3.862B to €-1.286B in January
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
AUD: RBA hike backs bullish outlook – BNY
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes that Australian data and policy are central for the Australian Dollar (AUD), with February CPI seen as critical to validate current rate-hike pricing and a constructive AUD view.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
US Dollar Index advances to near 100.00 due to strengthening Fed hawkish stance
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, extends its gains for the second successive session and is trading around 99.80 during the early European hours on Monday.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Turkey Consumer Confidence fell from previous 85.7 to 85 in March
Turkey Consumer Confidence fell from previous 85.7 to 85 in March
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Oil: Escalation risks keep supply anxiety elevated – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton highlights that the Iran war and threats around the Strait of Hormuz are sustaining significant risk for Oil markets.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
Euro: PMIs to show how Oil shock is affecting prices – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s macro team highlights that March flash PMIs will be the first key read on how the recent Oil shock is affecting Euro area activity and prices.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 23
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