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TABLE-Commerzbank raises 2026 year-end gold forecast to $4,900/oz

ReutersJan 13, 2026 1:09 PM

- Commerzbank raised its gold price forecast to $4,900 by the end of this year on Tuesday, citing increased safe-haven demand.

Gold prices XAU= this week hit a record high of $4,629.94, as geopolitical tensions and the U.S. administration's threats to the Federal Reserve chair have driven buying.

Citi had raised its base case zero to three-month target for gold to $5,000 an ounce on Monday.

Following is a list of analysts' latest gold price forecasts (in $ per ounce):

Brokerage/Agency

Annual Price Forecast

Price Targets

Forecast as of

2026

Morgan Stanley

$4,400

$4,500 by mid-2026

October 31, 2025

Citi Research

$5,000

Raises 0-3 month price target to $5,000

January 13, 2026

JP Morgan

$4,753

Expects prices reaching an average of $5,055/oz by 4Q26

October 23, 2025

HSBC

$4,587

$4,450 per ounce by year-end 2026

January 8, 2026

ANZ

$4,445

$4,400 by year-end and $4,600 by June 2026

October 16, 2025

Bank of America

$4,438

2026 gold outlook raised to $5,000

October 13, 2025

Societe Generale

$4,716

$5,000 by the end of 2026

October 13, 2025

Standard Chartered

$4,488

-

October 13, 2025

Goldman Sachs

$4,525

$4,900 by December 2026

October 7, 2025

Commerzbank*

$4900

$4,800 by mid-2026

January 13, 2026

Deutsche Bank

$4,450

Yearly

range from $3,950-$4,950/oz in 2026

November 26, 2025

UBS

$3,825

Decline in real rates, potentially into negative territory, could push gold towards $4,700

October 16, 2025

*end-of-period forecasts

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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