Euro zone bond yields steady with trading muted due to Thanksgiving holiday

By Ozan Ergenay

LONDON, Nov 27 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields steadied in early trading on Thursday, set for a second straight weekly decline, amid subdued activity across most markets due to the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday and growing expectations of a December rate cut by the Fed.

Germany's 10-year Bund yield DE10YT=RR, the euro zone's benchmark, rose 0.9 basis points to 2.683%, while French 10-year yields FR10YT=RR held at 3.416% and Italian yields IT10YT=RR were up 1.7 bps at 3.411%.

With the European Central Bank firmly on hold, European rates have been fairly muted in recent weeks. Spillovers from moves in stocks or U.S. and Japanese government bonds have not been sufficient to drive significant shifts either.

Later on Thursday, the ECB will release the minutes of its October policy meeting, while a number of the central bank's officials are scheduled to speak.

Euro zone bond yields have diverged sharply from those in the United States this month, as investors are pricing in a series of Fed rate cuts over the coming year, while the ECB is not expected to change monetary policy, according to money markets.

Peter Vanden Houte, chief economist at ING, said in a note to clients that euro zone inflation data still shows some stickiness, and selling price expectations climbed above the long-term average in every sector with consumers anticipating faster price increases ahead.

"What looks certain is that the region's economy remains on a growth track, albeit a subdued one. A meaningful uptick may not occur until Germany's budgetary stimulus kicks in, expected no sooner than the second half of 2026," he said.

"Given these trends, the ECB will likely keep interest rates unchanged, there's no need for more stimulus and inflation does not warrant any drastic new monetary policies."

Bund yields have risen by around 5 bps this month, while 10-year U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR have fallen 10 bps, bringing the two closer together than at any time in nearly two years DE10US10=RR.

Major U.S. economic data for retail sales and producer prices published on Tuesday reinforced expectations of a December rate cut and investors bet the leading candidate to be the next Fed Chair may pursue a more dovish policy.

In the UK, activity was also more subdued after the British finance minister presented a budget on Wednesday that alleviated some concern about the government's long-term finances.

Antonio Ruggiero, FX & macro strategist at Convera, said markets took the UK budget in their stride. But the calm won't last, he added, with the heavy use of back-loaded tax measures raising doubts about how reliable Chancellor Rachel Reeves' 26-billion pound ($34.40-billion) revenue plan really is.

UK 30-year gilt yields GB30YT=RR, which are more sensitive to long-term fiscal issues, were up 1.9 bps at 5.23%, retracing some of Wednesday's near-12 bp drop, the biggest since April, partly as a result of an expected decline in supply in the coming year.

UK 10-year yields GB10YT=RR were last up 4.4 bps at 4.471%, hitting an almost two-week high.

($1 = 0.7557 pounds)