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Bund yields hit 1-1/2-week high after PMI data, traders slightly trim ECB rate-cut bets

ReutersOct 24, 2025 8:35 AM

By Stefano Rebaudo

- Euro zone government bond yields rose on Friday after stronger-than-expected Purchasing Managers’ Index readings from the bloc prompted investors to slightly scale back bets on a European Central Bank rate cut next year.

Euro zone business activity unexpectedly grew at a faster pace in October. French business activity declined faster than expected in October, while Germany's private sector recorded its strongest growth in nearly two-and-a-half years.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release its inflation report later on Friday.

Germany’s 10-year Bund yields were up 0.5 basis points (bps) at 2.58% after hitting 2.612%, their highest level since October 14.

Borrowing costs on both sides of the Atlantic rose on Thursday after U.S. sanctions on Russia prompted a jump in oil prices, which stoked inflation concerns.

Benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year yields US10YT=RR were up 2 bps at 4.01% after rising 3.5 bps a day earlier.

Money markets priced in a 54% chance of a 25-basis-point ECB rate cut by July EURESTECBM7X8=ICAP from 60% before the data. The key rate is seen at around 1.85% in December 2026 EURESTECBM10X11=ICAP from the current 2%.

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