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Traders stick to bets on September Fed rate cut after inflation report

ReutersJul 15, 2025 1:07 PM

July 15 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve will likely be able to start cutting short-term borrowing costs by September, traders continued to bet on Tuesday, after a government report showed a widely expected increase in consumer prices last month.

The market-priced probability of a Fed interest-rate cut by September remained around 60% after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the consumer price index rose 2.7% in June from a year earlier, and underlying inflation was up 2.9%.

Traders continue to see just a 5% chance of a rate cut this month, with Fed policymakers mostly saying they want to see more data before reducing rates.

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