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Toncoin Price Forecast: TON eyes breakout rally as Coinbase invests, bullish bets rise

FXStreetAug 12, 2025 5:30 AM
  • Toncoin consolidates below the 200-day EMA, eyeing a potential breakout.
  • Coinbase Ventures invests an undisclosed amount in Toncoin. 
  • Bullish bets surge as traders anticipate a further recovery. 

Toncoin (TON) remains muted in a consolidation, recovering just over 1% at press time on Monday, despite the announcement of Coinbase Ventures' investment. Still, bullish bets are on the rise, anticipating a bullish revival with the potential breakout of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). 

Coinbase investment boosts TON traders' confidence

The TON Foundation announced that Coinbase Ventures holds Toncoin, joining a list of investors that includes Sequoia Capital, Benchmark, and Ribbit Capital. The foundation did not reveal the actual volume of TON tokens bought by the investment branch of the Coinbase exchange. 

https://x.com/ton_blockchain/status/1954899899792929054

Still, the capital inflow from another venture capital firm fuels confidence among investors. CoinGlass data shows the long positions over the last 24 hours, based on Taker buy-to-sell volume, have increased to 50.43%, up from 48.71% on Monday. This over two percentage points jump reflects increased confidence among traders.

Toncoin long/short ratio. Source: Coinglass

Toncoin’s double-edged consolidation range

Toncoin moves flat for the fifth consecutive day, between the squeezing 100- and 200-day EMAs, following the 3.50% jump last Wednesday. To reinforce a bullish trend, Toncoin should achieve a decisive close above the $3.588 resistance level, last tested on August 4. The breakout rally could result in a 20% jump to $4.211 level, marked by the April 1 high.

The technical indicators remain mixed, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 56 on the daily chart, bouncing off the midpoint line and indicating increased buying pressure. 

Furthermore, the 50- and 100-day EMAs are on the verge of a Golden Cross, which would mark a buy signal as short-term recovery gains traction. 

Still, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line inches closer to its signal line, maintaining a negative alignment. This suggests a weakening bearish trend in motion. 

TON/USDT daily price chart.

Looking down, a decisive close below the 50-day EMA at $3.225 would invalidate the consolidation range. In such a case, TON prices could decline to the $3.000 round figure. 

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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