Ethereum (ETH) is down nearly 9% on Tuesday following increased selling pressure from ETH ETF investors and whales. The selling pressure has also led to Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin being accused of not believing in ETH as a store of value (SoV).
Ethereum ETF investors have yet to stop shedding their holdings after the products posted net outflows of $13.2 million on Monday, per Farside Investors' data. As a result, ETH ETFs have stretched their negative flow streak to eight consecutive days of net outflows.
Unlike previous days, where Grayscale's ETHE outflows outweighed inflows from other issuers, none of the new eight ETH ETFs recorded inflows. Fidelity's FETH, Franklin's EZET and Grayscale's ETHE saw outflows of $2.7 million, $1 million and $9.5 million, respectively.
A similar trend is occurring among investors within the traditional crypto market, where several whales have potentially been dumping ETH by depositing on centralized exchanges in the past few hours, according to data from Lookonchain:
Following the heavy selling pressure, several crypto community members have accused Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin and core developers of not believing in ETH as a store of value (SoV). However, Buterin refuted the claims, stating he holds 90% of his net worth in ETH.
If I did not believe in ETH as SOV I would not hold ∼90% of my net worth in it.
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) August 27, 2024
Ethereum is trading around $3,460 on Tuesday, down nearly 9% on the day. In the past 24 hours, ETH has seen over $100 million in total liquidations — the largest in the crypto market. The recent price decline liquidated several long positions worth $93.56 million, while shorts saw only $7.45 million in liquidations.
Ethereum has descended below a key trendline that suggests its price could test the lower ascending trendline of a key triangle. Such a move could see ETH finding support around the $2,000 to $2,300 range before staging a rally.
ETH/USDT Daily chart
ETH posted similar declines from August 2022 to November 2022 and July 2023 to October 2023 before rallying on both occasions. If ETH completes this move, it could attempt to tackle the upper descending trendline of the triangle and eventually challenge its yearly high of $4,093.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossed below its moving average on Monday, indicating bearish momentum.
After posting a bearish signal when its %K line crossed below its %D line around the overbought region, the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) is signaling prevailing bearish momentum at 22. A move into the oversold region below 20 could indicate a potential buying opportunity.
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) continues to post consecutive smaller green bars below the zero line. A continuation of this move could signal weakening bearish pressure.
The thesis will be invalidated if ETH breaches the lower ascending trendline of the triangle.
Token launches like Arbitrum’s ARB airdrop and Optimism OP influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.
A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.
Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence risk assets like Bitcoin, mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.
Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs. This has been observed in Bitcoin and Litecoin.