Capstone Copper Q4 revenue beats estimates
Overview
Copper producer's Q4 revenue reached record high, beating analyst expectations
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 missed analyst estimates despite record copper production
Company achieved record low C1 cash costs in Q4 2025
Outlook
Capstone Copper forecasts 2026 production of 200,000 to 230,000 tonnes of copper
Company expects 2026 C1 cash costs of $2.45 to $2.75 per payable pound
Capstone plans $495 mln in sustaining and expansionary capital expenditures in 2026
Result Drivers
RECORD COPPER PRODUCTION - Q4 2025 copper production reached record levels due to operational improvements at Mantoverde and Mantos Blancos
LOWER CASH COSTS - Q4 2025 C1 cash costs decreased due to higher by-product credits and reduced operating costs
Company press release: ID:nBw5gzs35a
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Revenue | Beat | $685 mln | $654.27 mln (9 Analysts) |
Q4 Adjusted Net Income | Miss | $78.70 mln | $96.61 mln (3 Analysts) |
Q4 Net Income |
| $58.40 mln |
|
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA | Miss | $308 mln | $311.92 mln (14 Analysts) |
Q4 Cash Flow from Op. Activities |
| $287.30 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 14 "strong buy" or "buy", 3 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the specialty mining & metals peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Capstone Copper Corp is C$16.50, about 16.9% above its February 27 closing price of C$14.11
The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 13 three months ago
For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.
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