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Copper rally and rate cuts drive analyst bets on Peru, Brazil

ReutersFeb 19, 2026 1:49 PM

By Kylie Madry

- Rising metals prices driven by artificial intelligence demand and a global industrial recovery prompted an upgrade of Peruvian equities to "overweight" by Oxford Economics analysts on Thursday.

The firm maintained its "overweight" rating for Brazil on expected interest rate cuts.

  • Peru is best placed to capitalize on the copper cycle due to its high export exposure to the red metal, in high demand for data center buildouts, the analysts said.

  • While Chile is also a copper-producing powerhouse, analysts cited downside risks from mining closures, strikes and logistical bottlenecks, maintaining a "neutral" rating.

  • In Brazil, which has a more diversified economy than its regional peers, an expected interest rate cut cycle "will likely prove a powerful driver of (local) equities in the medium term," the analysts wrote.

  • Oxford Economics remained "underweight" on Mexico and Colombia, citing political uncertainty surrounding Mexico's trade negotiations with the U.S. and Canada and a monetary tightening cycle in the Andean nation.

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