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PRECIOUS-Gold hovers near record high on US shutdown concerns, Fed rate outlook

ReutersOct 1, 2025 1:06 AM

- Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday, hovering near record levels as the U.S. moved closer to a government shutdown, bolstering safe-haven demand, while weak U.S. labor data reinforced expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts.

FUNDAMENTALS

Spot gold XAU= was up 0.2% at $3,861.22 per ounce, as of 0030 GMT. Bullion logged about 12% rise in September, making it the metal's sharpest monthly rise since August 2011.

U.S. gold futures GCcv1 for December delivery gained 0.4% to $3,888.80.

The U.S. Senate failed on Tuesday to pass legislation extending government funding, pushing the nation closer to a shutdown, while U.S. President Donald Trump threatened additional federal workforce cuts.

A shutdown could delay the release of the closely watched non-farm payrolls report, due on Friday, a key indicator for Federal Reserve policy decisions.

The JOLTS report on Tuesday indicated marginal growth in U.S. job openings for August, alongside a decline in hiring, signaling softening labor market conditions that may pave the way for further interest rate reductions.

Economic data has bolstered expectations for Fed rate cuts, with traders pricing in a 97% likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut at October's meeting and a 76% chance in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool

Investors are also eyeing the ADP National Employment Report due later on Wednesday for additional labor market insights.

Gold, a traditional hedge against uncertainty, thrives in a low-interest-rate environment due to its non-yielding nature. The metal has hit multiple record highs this year, with the latest one being $3,871.45, hit on September 30.

SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 0.11% to 1,012.88 tons on Tuesday from 1,011.73 tons on Monday. [GOl/ETF]

Elsewhere, spot silver XAG= was steady at $46.64 per ounce, platinum XPT= held its ground at $1,573.76 and palladium XPD= fell 0.4% to $1,252.25.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)

0030

Japan S&P Global Mfg PMI Final SA September

0600

UK Nationwide house price mm, yy September

0750

France HCOB Manufacturing PMI September

0755

Germany HCOB Mfg PMI September

0800

EU HCOB Mfg Final PMI September

0830

UK S&P Global Manufacturing Pmi September

0900

EU HICP Flash YY September

0900

EU HICP-X,F,E,A,T Flash MM, YY September

1345

US S&P Global Mfg PMI Final September

1400

US ISM Manufacturing PMI September

Reuters Terminal users can see related news and prices by clicking on the codes in brackets:
All precious metals headlines GOL
Precious metals market reports GOL/
European gold prices GOLD/EU1GOLD/EU20#PREC
London Bullion Market Association LBMA01
New York Comex gold 0#GC: and silver 0#SI:
New York platinum 0#PL: and palladium 0#PA:
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