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PRECIOUS-Gold extends gains on US rate cut expectations

ReutersAug 4, 2025 6:01 PM
  • Traders expect US rate cut in September
  • Fresh tariffs imposed by Trump to stay, says Trade Rep
  • Palladium at a 3-week low

By Sarah Qureshi

- Gold prices rose for a third straight session on Monday after last week's economic data fueled expectations of interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Spot gold XAU= rose 0.3% to $3,372.15 per ounce as of 0146 p.m. ET (17:46 GMT), its highest level since July 24. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 settled 0.8% higher at $3,426.4.

"The odds are stronger now for a rate cut in September and even stronger for another rate cut in December. That coupled with the headwinds of inflation, I think is pretty bullish for gold," said Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.

Last week, data showed that U.S. employment growth was weaker than expected in July while the nonfarm payrolls count for the prior two months was revised down by a massive 258,000 jobs, suggesting a sharp deterioration in labor market conditions. Additionally, the Fed's preferred gauge, U.S. PCE inflation data, increased 0.3% in June after an upwardly revised 0.2% gain in May as tariffs started raising the cost of some goods.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders now see an 87.8% chance of a September rate cut, up from just over 63% a week ago.

Bullion typically performs well in a low-interest-rate environment and is regarded as a hedge against inflation.

The tariffs U.S. President Donald Trump imposed last week on scores of countries are likely to stay in place rather than be cut as part of continuing negotiations, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said in comments aired on Sunday.

Trump set rates including a 35% duty on many goods from Canada, 50% for Brazil, 25% for India, 20% for Taiwan and 39% for Switzerland, according to a presidential executive order.

Elsewhere, spot silver XAG= was up 0.9% at $37.35 per ounce.

Platinum XPT= rose 1.3% to $1,332.20, while palladium XPD= slipped 1.6% to $1,188.90 after reaching a three-week low earlier in the session.

Palladium prices still has some upside and are likely to see a rebound with downside support at $1,180/oz and upside breakout at $1,230, Pavilonis said.

Reuters Terminal users can see related news and prices by clicking on the codes in brackets:
All precious metals headlines GOL
Precious metals market reports GOL/
European gold prices GOLD/EU1GOLD/EU20#PREC
London Bullion Market Association LBMA01
New York Comex gold 0#GC: and silver 0#SI:
New York platinum 0#PL: and palladium 0#PA:
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