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GRAINS-Wheat heads for weekly loss on ample supply

ReutersJul 25, 2025 12:42 PM

- Chicago wheat futures edged lower on Friday and were set to end the week down 1.2% as plentiful global supply from ongoing northern hemisphere harvests outweighed strong U.S. exports.

Corn futures also weakened, heading for a 2% weekly fall amid expectations of a large U.S. harvest.

Soybeans slipped 0.6% for the week as U.S. weekly export sales came in at the lower end of trade estimates.

The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) Wv1 declined 0.3% at $5.39-3/4 a bushel at 1156 GMT, with CBOT corn Cv1 down 0.5% to $4.18-3/4 a bushel and soybeans Sv1 0.6% lower at $10.18 a bushel.

"The (wheat) supply coming onto the market as a result of the ongoing harvests has been weighing on prices for weeks," Commerzbank said in a note.

This prompted Commerzbank to cut its forecast for the U.S. wheat price at the end of the year to $5.70 per bushel from $6.00 previously. It also lowered its forecast for the EU wheat price to 210 euros per ton, from 220 euros previously, due to the better EU harvest.

Net U.S. wheat export sales for the week ended July 17 came in at 712,000 metric tons, at the high end of a range of trade estimates.

Scouts on an annual North Dakota crop tour projected hard red spring wheat yields in the top-producing state will average 49.0 bushels per acre, down from a record 54.5 bpa last year.

Given that the northern hemisphere is deep into harvest season, "it's very unlikely that something will change with the supply outlook," Rabobank analyst Vitor Pistoia said, adding that plentiful corn supply and low corn prices are also weighing on wheat. "No one's expecting upside."

In corn, the USDA on Thursday reported sales of 135,000 tons to South Korea and 284,196 tons to unknown destinations.

Soybeans faced some spillover pressure from weakness in the CBOT soymeal market on Thursday after news that Chinese buyers bought more meal from Argentina, though prices regained some ground on Friday. SMc1

Prices at 1154 GMT

Last

Change

Pct Move

CBOT wheat Wv1

539.75

-1.75

-0.32

CBOT corn Cv1

418.75

-2.00

-0.48

CBOT soy Sv1

1018.00

-6.25

-0.61

Paris wheat BL2Z4

196.50

-0.50

-0.25

Paris maize BOc1

56.35

-0.32

-0.56

Paris rapeseed COMc1

475.00

-1.00

-0.21

Euro/dlr EUR=

1.17

0.00

-0.27

Most active contracts - Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel, Paris futures in euros per tonne

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