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GRAINS-Corn, soy climb on US-China optimism, Argentina weather jitters

ReutersJan 17, 2025 6:36 PM

New throughout, updates prices, adds quotes and byline, changes dateline from previous PARIS/CANBERRA

By Julie Ingwersen

- U.S. corn futures climbed 2% to a fresh one-year high on Friday and soybeans rose about 1.6% ahead of a long holiday weekend, lifted by Argentine weather worries and cautious optimism about U.S.-China trade relations, analysts said.

As of 12:18 p.m. CST (1818 GMT), benchmark Chicago Board of Trade corn futures Cv1 were up 9-3/4 cents at $4.84-1/4 per bushel after reaching $4.85, the highest on a continuous chart of the most-active corn contract since mid-December 2023.

CBOT soybeans Sv1 were up 16 cents at $10.35 a bushel and wheat Wv1 was up 2 cents at $5.39-1/2 a bushel.

Corn and soybean futures hit session highs after U.S. President-elect Donald Trump said he discussed trade, fentanyl and Tiktok with Chinese President Xi Jinping in a phone call .

Worries about U.S. trade tensions with the world's largest soy buyer have hung over the grain markets since Trump's election. Chinese soybean processors have already largely turned to Brazilian cargoes instead of U.S. oilseeds, reflecting cheaper prices for Brazilian soy along with fears that Washington will impose import tariffs

"Anything that indicates potentially less confrontational relations between U.S. and China is at least going to be near-term price supportive," said Randy Mittlestaedt, analyst with R. J. O'Brien.

Trump's inauguration will take place on Monday, and U.S. markets and most government offices will be closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.

Traders were also watching weather in Argentina, where weekend rains were expected to give crops a brief reprieve from stressful conditions before dry weather returns. Uncertainty about crop prospects in Argentina, a key supplier of corn and soy products, has supported futures this month.

"The drop in (crop) ratings in Argentina, as indicated from the grain exchanges , is rekindling ideas that crop conditions have deteriorated from the hot temperatures, headed into the rain event that will only provide a little bit of relief," said Terry Reilly, senior agricultural strategist with Marex.

Wheat futures firmed but trailed the other markets, anchored by sluggish global export demand.

Despite a setback this week from two-year highs, the dollar's USD= strength against other major currencies remains a burden on U.S. wheat as it faces competition from cheaper Black Sea and Argentine supplies.

(Reporting by Julie Ingwersen; additional reporting by Gus Trompiz in Paris and Peter Hobson in Canberra; Editing by Toby Chopra)

((Julie.ingwersen@thomsonreuters.com; 1-313-484-5283; Reuters Messaging: julie.ingwersen.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))

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