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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO
19.095USD
+0.115+0.61%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
11.34BMarket Cap
9.38P/E TTM

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

19.095
+0.115+0.61%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite an average stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
15 / 70
Overall Ranking
122 / 4686
Industry
Freight & Logistics Services

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 19 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
23.381
Target Price
+22.99%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a China-based company principally involved in the provision of express delivery services through its nationwide network as well as other value-added logistics services. Its express delivery services mainly include parcel sorting and line-haul transportation. The Company directly provides express delivery services to certain enterprise customers, including vertical e-commerce and traditional merchants, in connection with the delivery of their products to end consumers. The Company conducts its businesses in domestic and overseas markets.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 17.03% year-on-year.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 6.15B.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 63.67%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 63.67%.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PB is 1.69, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 93.44M shares, decreasing 51.26% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Richard Pzena
Star Investor Richard Pzena holds 7.62M shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

The company's current financial score is 9.28, which is higher than the Freight & Logistics Services industry's average of 7.20. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 1.64B, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.45%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 25.69%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.28
Change
0

Financials

10.00

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
No Data

Quality of Earnings

8.62

Operational Efficiency

10.00

Growth Potential

10.00

Shareholder Returns

7.80

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

The company’s current valuation score is 7.36, which is lower than the Freight & Logistics Services industry's average of 7.37. Its current P/E ratio is 11.72, which is 98.25% below the recent high of 23.24 and 13.01% above the recent low of 10.20.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.36
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 15/70
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 8.30, which is higher than the Freight & Logistics Services industry's average of 7.44. The average price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is 23.10, with a high of 28.00 and a low of 17.80.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.30
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 19 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
23.381
Target Price
+22.99%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

14
Total
4
Median
9
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
ZTO
19
United Parcel Service Inc
UPS
32
FedEx Corp
FDX
31
Expeditors International of Washington Inc
EXPD
18
GXO Logistics Inc
GXO
17
Cryoport Inc
CYRX
9
1
2
3

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

The company’s current price momentum score is 6.80, which is lower than the Freight & Logistics Services industry's average of 7.14. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 19.91 and the support level at 18.08, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.81
Change
-0.01

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(4)
Buy(1)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.026
Neutral
RSI(14)
49.918
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
68.921
Neutral
ATR(14)
0.425
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
6.548
Neutral
Williams %R
39.161
Buy
TRIX(12,20)
-0.026
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
19.010
Buy
MA10
18.879
Buy
MA20
19.034
Buy
MA50
19.025
Buy
MA100
18.775
Buy
MA200
18.920
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 3.00, which is lower than the Freight & Logistics Services industry's average of 5.49. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 15.62%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 33.90%. The largest institutional shareholder is Richard Pzena, holding a total of 7.62M shares, representing 1.27% of shares outstanding, with 2.07% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Harding Loevner LP
12.32M
-6.71%
Temasek Holdings Pte. Ltd.
10.43M
--
Zto Ljf Holding, Ltd.
8.22M
-19.57%
Pzena Investment Management, LLC
Star Investors
7.62M
-1.36%
Serenity Capital LLC
5.06M
--
Serenity Capital Management Pte. Ltd.
5.06M
--
UBS Financial Services, Inc.
4.64M
-34.00%
Lai (Meisong)
4.61M
--
Goldman Sachs & Company, Inc.
4.26M
-21.68%
Fisher Investments
Star Investors
3.58M
-13.03%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-22

The company’s current risk assessment score is 8.39, which is higher than the Freight & Logistics Services industry's average of 5.89. The company's beta value is -0.19. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.39
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
-0.19
VaR
+3.56%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+28.12%
240-Day Volatility
+36.88%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+3.91%
120 days
+9.21%
5 years
+19.75%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-3.71%
120 days
-8.04%
5 years
-21.64%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-0.72
120 days
+0.32
5 years
+0.05

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+28.12%
3 years
+44.86%
5 years
+56.93%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.62
3 years
-0.17
5 years
-0.12
Skewness
240 days
-0.04
3 years
+0.38
5 years
-0.01

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+36.88%
5 years
+43.86%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.86%
5 years
+4.28%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+51.87%
240 days
+51.87%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+24.11%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+25.71%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.24%
120 days
+0.32%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-29.66%
60 days
-36.29%
120 days
-14.79%

Peer Comparison

Freight & Logistics Services
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
ZTO
7.58 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Ryder System Inc
Ryder System Inc
R
8.12 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
ArcBest Corp
ArcBest Corp
ARCB
8.11 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc
KNX
8.01 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Hub Group Inc
Hub Group Inc
HUBG
7.94 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Danaos Corp
Danaos Corp
DAC
7.93 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
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