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Vistra Corp

VST

213.520USD

+3.820+1.82%
Close 09/15, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
72.41BMarket Cap
32.97P/E TTM

Vistra Corp

213.520

+3.820+1.82%

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite a good stock market performance and strong technicals, the fundamentals don't support the current trend. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
31 / 68
Overall Ranking
148 / 4724
Industry
Electric Utilities & IPPs

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 18 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
207.814
Target Price
-0.90%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Company Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Vistra Corp. is an integrated retail and electric power generation company. The Company operates in six business segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset and Asset Closure. The Retail segment represents its retail sales of electricity and natural gas to residential, small business and commercial and industrial customers. The Texas and East segments are engaged in electricity generation, wholesale energy sales and purchases, commodity risk management activities, fuel production and fuel logistics management. The East segment includes operations in the PJM, ISO-NE and NYISO markets. The West segment represents results from the CAISO market, including its battery ESS projects at its Moss Landing power plant site. The Sunset segment represents generation plants with announced retirement plans. The Asset Closure segment is engaged in the decommissioning and reclamation of retired plants and mines. The Company operates in approximately 41,000 megawatts of installed generation capacity.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 12.44%.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PE is 33.50, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 301.46M shares, decreasing 6.92% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by The Vanguard
Star Investor The Vanguard holds 41.62M shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

The company's current financial score is 5.76, which is lower than the Electric Utilities & IPPs industry's average of 7.09. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 4.25B, representing a year-over-year increase of 34.53%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 277.38%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.76
Change
0.06

Financials

5.21

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents

Total assets

Total liabilities

Free cash flow

No Data

Quality of Earnings

7.14

Operational Efficiency

6.76

Growth Potential

3.85

Shareholder Returns

6.16

Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

The company’s current valuation score is 4.60, which is lower than the Electric Utilities & IPPs industry's average of 5.95. Its current P/E ratio is 30.53, which is -15.65% below the recent high of 25.75 and 72.44% above the recent low of 8.41.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
4.00
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E

P/B

P/S

P/CF

Industry Ranking 31/68
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 8.24, which is higher than the Electric Utilities & IPPs industry's average of 7.50. The average price target for Vistra Corp is 218.00, with a high of 242.00 and a low of 120.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.33
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 18 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
207.814
Target Price
-0.90%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

61
Total
12
Median
10
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Vistra Corp
VST
18
Southern Co
SO
21
Nextera Energy Inc
NEE_pr
21
Nextera Energy Inc
NEE_ps
21
Nextera Energy Inc
NEE
21
Nextera Energy Inc
NEE_pt
21
1
2
3
...
12

Financial Forecasting

EPS

Revenue

Net Profit

EBIT

No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

The company’s current price momentum score is 7.33, which is lower than the Electric Utilities & IPPs industry's average of 7.36. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 213.02 and the support level at 180.02, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.70
Change
-0.04

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(1)
Buy(3)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
4.928
Buy
RSI(14)
64.660
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
85.370
Buy
ATR(14)
8.145
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
156.097
Buy
Williams %R
11.097
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
0.003
Sell
StochRSI(14)
100.000
Overbought
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
206.052
Buy
MA10
196.993
Buy
MA20
195.084
Buy
MA50
197.009
Buy
MA100
179.106
Buy
MA200
161.209
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 7.00, which is higher than the Electric Utilities & IPPs industry's average of 6.63. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 88.84%, representing a quarter-over-quarter increase of 6.23%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 41.62M shares, representing 12.28% of shares outstanding, with 3.45% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
41.83M
-3.24%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
21.64M
+0.86%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
15.82M
-15.42%
State Street Global Advisors (US)
16.43M
+1.92%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
9.07M
+6.19%
JP Morgan Asset Management
2.58M
+11.59%
Lone Pine Capital, L.L.C.
Star Investors
4.60M
-13.98%
MFS Investment Management
5.79M
-5.69%
Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM)
2.97M
+18.70%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-15

The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a neutral state, which has a neutral effect on the Electric Utilities & IPPs domestic-focused industry. The Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies, including the euro, yen, pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. The company’s current risk assessment score is 3.35, which is lower than the Electric Utilities & IPPs industry's average of 5.32. The company's beta value is 1.35. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.35
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.35
VaR
+3.85%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+48.89%
240-Day Volatility
+71.06%
Return
Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.96%
120 days
+15.49%
5 years
+16.60%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-4.49%
120 days
-14.92%
5 years
-28.27%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+1.91
120 days
+1.97
5 years
+1.37
Risk Assessment
Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+48.89%
3 years
+48.89%
5 years
+48.89%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+1.71
3 years
+5.82
5 years
+4.16
Skewness
240 days
-1.17
3 years
-0.62
5 years
-0.88
Volatility
Realised Volatility
240 days
+71.06%
5 years
+46.98%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+4.14%
5 years
+1.30%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+272.12%
240 days
+272.12%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+34.02%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+34.59%
Liquidity
Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.38%
120 days
+1.74%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-34.36%
60 days
-25.49%
120 days
-6.14%

Peer Comparison

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Vistra Corp
Vistra Corp
VST
6.69 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Clearway Energy Inc
Clearway Energy Inc
CWEN
8.01 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Clearway Energy Inc
Clearway Energy Inc
CWENa
7.71 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Entergy Corp
Entergy Corp
ETR
7.65 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Ormat Technologies Inc
Ormat Technologies Inc
ORA
7.58 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
FirstEnergy Corp
FirstEnergy Corp
FE
7.58 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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