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Toll Brothers Inc

TOL
138.005USD
+1.305+0.95%
Close 10/24, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
13.32BMarket Cap
9.69P/E TTM

Toll Brothers Inc

138.005
+1.305+0.95%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Toll Brothers Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite an average stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Toll Brothers Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
1 / 56
Overall Ranking
40 / 4685
Industry
Homebuilding & Construction Supplies

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 18 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
151.953
Target Price
+10.17%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Toll Brothers Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Toll Brothers, Inc. is a builder of luxury homes. The Company designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges financing for an array of luxury residential single-family detached homes, attached homes, master-planned, and urban low, mid, and high-rise communities. It caters to luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester (move-down), active-adult and second-home buyers in the United States, as well as urban and suburban renters under the brand names Toll Brothers Apartment Living and Toll Brothers Campus Living. The Company also develops master-planned and golf course communities as well as operates, in certain regions, its own lumber distribution, house component assembly and manufacturing operations. It operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development, insurance, smart home technology and landscaping subsidiaries. The Company has 1,041 communities in various stages of planning, development or operations containing approximately 74,700 home sites.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 10.85B.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 5.95%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 5.95%.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PE is 10.00, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 90.16M shares, decreasing 10.75% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Ron Baron
Star Investor Ron Baron holds 1.13M shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

The company's current financial score is 8.43, which is higher than the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry's average of 7.35. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 2.95B, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.96%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 1.33%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.43
Change
0

Financials

10.00

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
No Data

Quality of Earnings

6.42

Operational Efficiency

7.91

Growth Potential

9.10

Shareholder Returns

8.70

Toll Brothers Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

The company’s current valuation score is 7.76, which is higher than the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry's average of 7.40. Its current P/E ratio is 10.00, which is 10.74% below the recent high of 11.07 and 62.34% above the recent low of 3.77.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.76
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 1/56
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 7.89, which is higher than the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry's average of 7.45. The average price target for Toll Brothers Inc is 155.00, with a high of 183.00 and a low of 92.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.89
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 18 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
151.953
Target Price
+11.16%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

20
Total
6
Median
8
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Toll Brothers Inc
TOL
18
DR Horton Inc
DHI
22
Lennar Corp
LEN
20
Pultegroup Inc
PHM
17
KB Home
KBH
15
Meritage Homes Corp
MTH
12
1
2
3
4

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

The company’s current price momentum score is 8.92, which is higher than the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry's average of 7.88. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 144.88 and the support level at 127.49, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.86
Change
0.06

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(4)
Buy(1)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.831
Neutral
RSI(14)
52.197
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
76.368
Neutral
ATR(14)
3.911
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
53.732
Neutral
Williams %R
41.161
Buy
TRIX(12,20)
-0.142
Sell
StochRSI(14)
36.789
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
136.448
Buy
MA10
133.910
Buy
MA20
135.472
Buy
MA50
137.491
Buy
MA100
127.351
Buy
MA200
119.553
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 10.00, which is higher than the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry's average of 8.13. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 93.54%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.23%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 9.65M shares, representing 10.01% of shares outstanding, with 3.05% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
9.65M
-2.90%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
9.13M
-3.62%
Greenhaven Associates, Inc.
5.60M
+0.71%
State Street Investment Management (US)
3.49M
-3.16%
Capital World Investors
3.42M
+5.35%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
2.86M
+32.50%
AQR Capital Management, LLC
2.61M
+83.06%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
2.32M
+2.63%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
2.26M
-1.28%
MFS Investment Management
2.01M
+4.04%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-10-23

The company’s current risk assessment score is 8.10, which is higher than the Homebuilding & Construction Supplies industry's average of 6.25. The company's beta value is 1.37. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.10
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.37
VaR
+3.64%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+46.07%
240-Day Volatility
+38.03%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+5.77%
120 days
+8.52%
5 years
+11.03%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.60%
120 days
-5.60%
5 years
-8.46%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+1.61
120 days
+2.04
5 years
+0.86

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+46.07%
3 years
+46.07%
5 years
+46.07%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.21
3 years
+1.28
5 years
+0.91
Skewness
240 days
-0.07
3 years
+0.06
5 years
+0.00

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+38.03%
5 years
+37.36%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.83%
5 years
+1.93%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+349.53%
240 days
+349.53%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+25.38%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+18.88%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.71%
120 days
+1.77%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+7.80%
60 days
+13.28%
120 days
+16.88%

Peer Comparison

Homebuilding & Construction Supplies
Toll Brothers Inc
Toll Brothers Inc
TOL
8.44 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Interface Inc
Interface Inc
TILE
8.36 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Meritage Homes Corp
Meritage Homes Corp
MTH
8.31 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Armstrong World Industries Inc
Armstrong World Industries Inc
AWI
8.30 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Carlisle Companies Inc
Carlisle Companies Inc
CSL
8.25 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc
Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc
SSD
8.23 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more
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