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Progressive Corp

PGR
227.820USD
+0.460+0.20%
Close 12/23, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
133.50BMarket Cap
12.46P/E TTM

Progressive Corp

227.820
+0.460+0.20%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Progressive Corp

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

Key Insights

Progressive Corp's fundamentals are relatively stable, and its growth potential is significant.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 83/117 in the Insurance industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 258.04.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.Despite an average stock market performance over the past month, the company shows strong technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Progressive Corp's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
83 / 117
Overall Ranking
294 / 4568
Industry
Insurance

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 25 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
258.035
Target Price
+15.63%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Progressive Corp Highlights

StrengthsRisks
The Progressive Corporation is an insurance holding company, which has insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries and affiliates. The Company’s segments include Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other indemnity. The Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products. Its special lines of products include recreational vehicles, such as motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft. Its Personal Lines products are sold through both the agency and direct channels. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance, business-related general liability and commercial property insurance predominately for small businesses, and workers’ compensation insurance primarily for the transportation industry. Its reinsurance activity includes both transactions which are regulated and those that are non-regulated. It offers shopping tools and services, such as Name Your Price, Snapshot, and HomeQuote Explorer.
Industry Leader
The company's revenue leads the industry, with the latest annual revenue totaling USD 75.34B.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 51.94% year-on-year.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 75.34B.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 33.90%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 33.90%.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PE is 12.47, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 510.37M shares, decreasing 1.17% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by CI Select Canadian Equity Fund
Star Investor CI Select Canadian Equity Fund holds 12.57K shares of this stock.
Lower Market Activity
The company has less investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of 0.04.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

The current financial score of Progressive Corp is 5.26, ranking 90/117 in the Insurance industry. Its financial status is weak, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 22.50B, representing a year-over-year increase of 14.15%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 12.07%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.26
Change
0

Financials

4.28

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

6.24

Operational Efficiency

6.17

Growth Potential

4.00

Shareholder Returns

5.63

Progressive Corp's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

The current valuation score of Progressive Corp is 6.83, ranking 79/117 in the Insurance industry. Its current P/E ratio is 12.47, which is 882.82% below the recent high of 122.53 and 10.61% above the recent low of 11.14.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.83
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 83/117
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

The current earnings forecast score of Progressive Corp is 7.04, ranking 57/117 in the Insurance industry. The average price target for Progressive Corp is 256.50, with a high of 348.00 and a low of 189.32.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.04
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 25 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
258.035
Target Price
+15.63%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

60
Total
5
Median
6
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Progressive Corp
PGR
25
Travelers Companies Inc
TRV
26
Allstate Corp
ALL
23
American International Group Inc
AIG
21
Arch Capital Group Ltd
ACGL
20
W R Berkley Corp
WRB
18
1
2
3
...
12

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

The current price momentum score of Progressive Corp is 7.28, ranking 79/117 in the Insurance industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 237.28 and the support level at 218.66, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.07
Change
0.21

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(5)
Buy(1)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.649
Neutral
RSI(14)
51.841
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
45.394
Neutral
ATR(14)
4.946
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
10.848
Neutral
Williams %R
51.306
Neutral
TRIX(12,20)
0.110
Sell
StochRSI(14)
100.000
Buy
Moving Average
Sell(3)
Neutral(0)
Buy(3)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
226.332
Buy
MA10
228.793
Sell
MA20
227.777
Buy
MA50
222.608
Buy
MA100
233.811
Sell
MA200
251.273
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

The current institutional shareholding score of Progressive Corp is 7.00, ranking 46/117 in the Insurance industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 87.03%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.95%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 54.40M shares, representing 9.28% of shares outstanding, with 1.18% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
54.25M
+0.90%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
29.60M
-10.52%
State Street Investment Management (US)
25.73M
-0.30%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
15.51M
+1.98%
Capital International Investors
7.66M
+41.07%
MFS Investment Management
12.81M
-4.29%
JP Morgan Asset Management
10.03M
-4.17%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
14.08M
+27.60%
Capital Research Global Investors
8.85M
+46.17%
AllianceBernstein L.P.
10.97M
+32.79%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-23

No risk assessment score is currently available for Progressive Corp. The Insurance industry's average is 7.02. The company's beta value is 0.34. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
0.00
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.34
VaR
+2.14%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+30.05%
240-Day Volatility
+26.27%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+3.65%
120 days
+3.65%
5 years
+8.87%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.78%
120 days
-5.78%
5 years
-13.12%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-0.99
120 days
-1.07
5 years
+0.93

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+30.05%
3 years
+30.05%
5 years
+30.05%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.21
3 years
+0.73
5 years
+0.96
Skewness
240 days
-1.30
3 years
-0.79
5 years
-0.53

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+26.27%
5 years
+25.12%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.42%
5 years
+1.53%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-145.96%
240 days
-145.96%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+18.99%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+24.53%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.61%
120 days
+0.59%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+3.58%
60 days
+32.07%
120 days
+26.30%

Peer Comparison

Insurance
Progressive Corp
Progressive Corp
PGR
5.90 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Essent Group Ltd
Essent Group Ltd
ESNT
8.87 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Arch Capital Group Ltd
Arch Capital Group Ltd
ACGL
8.79 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd
AXS
8.71 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Everest Group Ltd
Everest Group Ltd
EG
8.68 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Renaissancere Holdings Ltd
Renaissancere Holdings Ltd
RNR
8.61 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Progressive Corp?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Progressive Corp based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Progressive Corp’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Progressive Corp?

To generate the financial health score of Progressive Corp, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Progressive Corp's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Progressive Corp.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Progressive Corp?

To generate the company valuation score of Progressive Corp, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Progressive Corp’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Progressive Corp’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Progressive Corp.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Progressive Corp?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Progressive Corp, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Progressive Corp’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Progressive Corp?

When generating the price momentum score for Progressive Corp, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Progressive Corp’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Progressive Corp.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Progressive Corp?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Progressive Corp, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Progressive Corp’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Progressive Corp.

How do we generate the risk management score of Progressive Corp?

To assess the risk management score of Progressive Corp, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Progressive Corp’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Progressive Corp.
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