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Novartis AG

NVS
134.346USD
+1.776+1.34%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
257.78BMarket Cap
18.24P/E TTM

Novartis AG

134.346
+1.776+1.34%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Novartis AG

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

Key Insights

Novartis AG's fundamentals are relatively healthy, and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 44/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Hold, with the highest price target at 122.47.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.Despite an average stock market performance over the past month, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Novartis AG's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
44 / 159
Overall Ranking
121 / 4592
Industry
Pharmaceuticals

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 8 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
122.473
Target Price
-5.91%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Novartis AG Highlights

StrengthsRisks

Novartis AG is a Swiss multinational pharmaceutical corporation headquartered in Basel, Switzerland. It stands as one of the largest pharmaceutical companies globally and ranked eighth by revenue in 2024.

The company manufactures various medications, including clozapine, diclofenac, carbamazepine, valsartan, imatinib mesylate, cyclosporine, letrozole, methylphenidate, terbinafine, deferasirox, among others.

Founded in 1996 through the merger of Ciba-Geigy and Sandoz, it was regarded as the largest corporate merger at that time. The pharmaceutical and agrochemical divisions from both companies combined to create Novartis as an independent entity. The name "Novartis" is derived from the Latin words translating to "new arts."

Following the merger, several businesses from Ciba-Geigy and Sandoz were sold or spun off as independent entities, like Ciba Specialty Chemicals. Although the Sandoz brand vanished for three years, it was reintroduced in 2003 when Novartis merged its generic drug divisions into a single subsidiary named Sandoz. In 2000, Novartis divested its agrochemical and genetically modified crops sector by spinning out Syngenta in collaboration with AstraZeneca, which also shed its agrochemical division. The company has since pursued multiple acquisitions to bolster its core businesses.

Novartis is a full member of various notable organizations, including the European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations, the Biotechnology Innovation Organization, the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations, and the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America. Presently, Novartis ranks as the third most valuable pharmaceutical company in Europe, following Novo Nordisk and Roche.

High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 19.24% year-on-year.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 51.72B.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 68.10%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 68.10%.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PE is 18.00, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 135.58M shares, decreasing 7.75% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Joel Greenblatt
Star Investor Joel Greenblatt holds 1.96K shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current financial score of Novartis AG is 8.66, ranking 47/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 14.36B, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.00%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 23.17%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.66
Change
0

Financials

6.61

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

8.98

Operational Efficiency

10.00

Growth Potential

10.00

Shareholder Returns

7.70

Novartis AG's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current valuation score of Novartis AG is 7.95, ranking 38/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry. Its current P/E ratio is 18.00, which is 68.32% below the recent high of 30.29 and 37.41% above the recent low of 11.26.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.95
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 44/159
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current earnings forecast score of Novartis AG is 6.00, ranking 130/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry. The average price target for Novartis AG is 118.00, with a high of 147.42 and a low of 102.36.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.00
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 8 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
122.473
Target Price
-5.91%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

171
Total
6
Median
8
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Novartis AG
NVS
8
Biogen Inc
BIIB
36
Amgen Inc
AMGN
35
Eli Lilly and Co
LLY
33
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc
VRTX
33
AbbVie Inc
ABBV
32
1
2
3
...
34

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current price momentum score of Novartis AG is 9.36, ranking 21/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 136.79 and the support level at 125.79, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.32
Change
0.04

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(3)
Buy(3)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.307
Buy
RSI(14)
57.683
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
57.648
Neutral
ATR(14)
2.181
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
59.154
Neutral
Williams %R
21.576
Buy
TRIX(12,20)
0.127
Sell
StochRSI(14)
100.000
Buy
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
131.460
Buy
MA10
131.686
Buy
MA20
130.215
Buy
MA50
129.439
Buy
MA100
126.270
Buy
MA200
119.928
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current institutional shareholding score of Novartis AG is 3.00, ranking 92/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 7.06%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2.79%. The largest institutional shareholder is Van Duyn Dodge & E. Morris Cox, holding a total of 10.59M shares, representing 0.55% of shares outstanding, with 8.54% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
10.65M
-9.90%
PRIMECAP Management Company
Star Investors
10.40M
+0.18%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
9.06M
+5.28%
Fisher Investments
Star Investors
7.12M
+5.30%
Loomis, Sayles & Company, L.P.
5.58M
+1.43%
Franklin Mutual Advisers, LLC
4.16M
-14.45%
Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC
3.65M
+3.67%
Parametric Portfolio Associates LLC
3.08M
+2.68%
Managed Account Advisors LLC
2.92M
+0.25%
Aperio Group, LLC
2.24M
+7.71%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current risk assessment score of Novartis AG is 9.86, ranking 2/159 in the Pharmaceuticals industry. The company's beta value is 0.51. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.86
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.51
VaR
+1.76%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+11.78%
240-Day Volatility
+21.18%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+3.34%
120 days
+3.34%
5 years
+8.00%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-4.42%
120 days
-4.42%
5 years
-5.71%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+1.68
120 days
+1.31
5 years
+0.87

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+11.78%
3 years
+19.95%
5 years
+21.58%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+2.95
3 years
+0.91
5 years
+0.62
Skewness
240 days
-0.35
3 years
+0.11
5 years
+0.19

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+21.18%
5 years
+18.46%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+1.48%
5 years
+1.02%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+177.35%
240 days
+177.35%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+17.42%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+17.73%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.08%
120 days
+0.10%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-16.92%
60 days
-0.67%
120 days
+22.30%

Peer Comparison

Pharmaceuticals
Novartis AG
Novartis AG
NVS
7.72 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC
Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC
JAZZ
8.88 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc
Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc
PBH
8.72 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc
Collegium Pharmaceutical Inc
COLL
8.69 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals Inc
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals Inc
CPRX
8.63 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
United Therapeutics Corp
United Therapeutics Corp
UTHR
8.61 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Novartis AG?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Novartis AG based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Novartis AG’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Novartis AG?

To generate the financial health score of Novartis AG, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Novartis AG's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Novartis AG.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Novartis AG?

To generate the company valuation score of Novartis AG, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Novartis AG’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Novartis AG’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Novartis AG.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Novartis AG?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Novartis AG, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Novartis AG’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Novartis AG?

When generating the price momentum score for Novartis AG, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Novartis AG’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Novartis AG.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Novartis AG?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Novartis AG, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Novartis AG’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Novartis AG.

How do we generate the risk management score of Novartis AG?

To assess the risk management score of Novartis AG, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Novartis AG’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Novartis AG.
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