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Murphy USA Inc

MUSA
405.190USD
-1.220-0.30%
Close 12/15, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
7.59BMarket Cap
16.97P/E TTM

Murphy USA Inc

405.190
-1.220-0.30%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Murphy USA Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

Key Insights

Murphy USA Inc's fundamentals are relatively stable, and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 20/122 in the Oil & Gas industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Hold, with the highest price target at 412.82.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.The company has been performing well in the stock market over the past month, which is supported by its strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Murphy USA Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
20 / 122
Overall Ranking
114 / 4592
Industry
Oil & Gas

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 9 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
412.816
Target Price
+5.14%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Murphy USA Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Murphy USA Inc. is a retailer of gasoline and convenience merchandise with more than 1,760 stores located primarily in the Southwest, Southeast, Midwest and Northeast United States. The Company has one operating segment, which is Marketing. The Marketing segment includes its retail marketing stores and product supply and wholesale assets. The majority of its existing and new-to-industry (NTI) retail gasoline stores operate under the brand names of Murphy USA and Murphy Express. The majority of Murphy USA's stores are located in proximity to Walmart Supercenters. The Company also markets gasoline and other products at standalone stores under the Murphy Express and QuickChek brands. The Company has a network of retail gasoline and convenience stores in approximately 27 states. In addition, it markets fuel to unbranded wholesale customers through a mixture of Company-owned and third-party product distribution terminals and pipeline positions.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 7.32%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 7.32%.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PB is 13.94, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 17.06M shares, decreasing 9.82% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Ken Fisher
Star Investor Ken Fisher holds 607.00 shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current financial score of Murphy USA Inc is 6.72, ranking 85/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. Its financial status is weak, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 4.50B, representing a year-over-year decrease of 3.05%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 12.94%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.72
Change
0

Financials

4.30

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

7.23

Operational Efficiency

6.11

Growth Potential

7.23

Shareholder Returns

8.75

Murphy USA Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current valuation score of Murphy USA Inc is 6.53, ranking 97/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. Its current P/E ratio is 17.02, which is 33.07% below the recent high of 22.65 and 50.72% above the recent low of 8.39.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.53
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 20/122
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current earnings forecast score of Murphy USA Inc is 6.89, ranking 72/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. The average price target for Murphy USA Inc is 425.00, with a high of 476.71 and a low of 340.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.89
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 9 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
412.816
Target Price
+5.14%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

26
Total
7
Median
9
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Murphy USA Inc
MUSA
9
Exxon Mobil Corp
XOM
29
Phillips 66
PSX
22
BP PLC
BP
22
Valero Energy Corp
VLO
21
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
20
1
2
3
4
5

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current price momentum score of Murphy USA Inc is 9.59, ranking 2/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 425.59 and the support level at 370.27, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.40
Change
0.19

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(2)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
4.175
Buy
RSI(14)
64.691
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
73.805
Neutral
ATR(14)
11.830
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
152.790
Buy
Williams %R
18.199
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
0.288
Sell
StochRSI(14)
90.623
Overbought
Moving Average
Sell(1)
Neutral(0)
Buy(5)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
396.110
Buy
MA10
394.182
Buy
MA20
385.622
Buy
MA50
377.844
Buy
MA100
382.113
Buy
MA200
415.703
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current institutional shareholding score of Murphy USA Inc is 10.00, ranking 1/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 91.03%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 9.56%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 1.66M shares, representing 8.87% of shares outstanding, with 0.07% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
1.73M
-1.68%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
1.61M
-0.70%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
704.17K
-44.61%
Millennium Management LLC
926.54K
+9.55%
Deming (Claiborne P)
664.65K
-0.06%
State Street Investment Management (US)
580.20K
-4.08%
Murphy (Robert Madison)
548.34K
-5.02%
River Road Asset Management, LLC
491.64K
+24.03%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
446.65K
+0.78%
Cadence Bank
414.68K
--
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current risk assessment score of Murphy USA Inc is 8.31, ranking 33/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. The company's beta value is 0.40. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.31
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.39
VaR
+2.65%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+31.46%
240-Day Volatility
+35.91%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+3.83%
120 days
+4.61%
5 years
+9.18%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-7.34%
120 days
-11.16%
5 years
-12.28%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+0.93
120 days
+0.02
5 years
+1.02

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+31.46%
3 years
+35.81%
5 years
+35.81%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.60
3 years
+0.46
5 years
+1.24
Skewness
240 days
-1.41
3 years
-0.69
5 years
-0.34

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+35.91%
5 years
+30.17%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+3.20%
5 years
+2.10%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+1.94%
240 days
+1.94%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+18.29%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+28.61%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.65%
120 days
+1.61%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+39.57%
60 days
+45.39%
120 days
+41.69%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
Murphy USA Inc
Murphy USA Inc
MUSA
7.79 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Permian Resources Corp
Permian Resources Corp
PR
8.85 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Matador Resources Co
Matador Resources Co
MTDR
8.67 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Chord Energy Corp
Chord Energy Corp
CHRD
8.55 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Devon Energy Corp
Devon Energy Corp
DVN
8.41 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips
COP
8.37 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Murphy USA Inc?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Murphy USA Inc based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Murphy USA Inc’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Murphy USA Inc?

To generate the financial health score of Murphy USA Inc, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Murphy USA Inc's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Murphy USA Inc.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Murphy USA Inc?

To generate the company valuation score of Murphy USA Inc, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Murphy USA Inc’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Murphy USA Inc’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Murphy USA Inc.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Murphy USA Inc?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Murphy USA Inc, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Murphy USA Inc’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Murphy USA Inc?

When generating the price momentum score for Murphy USA Inc, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Murphy USA Inc’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Murphy USA Inc.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Murphy USA Inc?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Murphy USA Inc, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Murphy USA Inc’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Murphy USA Inc.

How do we generate the risk management score of Murphy USA Inc?

To assess the risk management score of Murphy USA Inc, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Murphy USA Inc’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Murphy USA Inc.
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