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Marathon Petroleum Corp

MPC
185.510USD
-0.260-0.14%
Close 12/15, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
55.84BMarket Cap
19.64P/E TTM

Marathon Petroleum Corp

185.510
-0.260-0.14%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Marathon Petroleum Corp

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

Key Insights

Marathon Petroleum Corp's fundamentals are relatively stable, and its growth potential is significant.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 43/122 in the Oil & Gas industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 201.17.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.Despite a weak stock market performance over the past month, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Marathon Petroleum Corp's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
43 / 122
Overall Ranking
172 / 4592
Industry
Oil & Gas

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 20 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
201.173
Target Price
+6.07%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Marathon Petroleum Corp Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated, downstream energy company. The Company’s segments include Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent and West Coast regions of the United States. It sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers domestically and internationally, to buyers on the spot market, and to independent entrepreneurs who operate primarily Marathon branded outlets. The Midstream segment gathers, transports, stores and distributes crude oil, refined products, including renewable diesel, and other hydrocarbon-based products, principally for the Refining & Marketing segment via refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, and others. The Renewable Diesel segment processes renewable feedstocks into renewable diesel, markets renewable diesel and distributes renewable products through its Midstream segment and third parties.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 33.53%.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PB is 3.27, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 232.69M shares, decreasing 6.66% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Brandes Investmen
Star Investor Brandes Investmen holds 194.00 shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current financial score of Marathon Petroleum Corp is 6.63, ranking 89/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. Its financial status is weak, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 34.88B, representing a year-over-year decrease of 0.80%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 119.94%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.63
Change
0

Financials

5.52

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

7.10

Operational Efficiency

6.23

Growth Potential

5.61

Shareholder Returns

8.68

Marathon Petroleum Corp's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current valuation score of Marathon Petroleum Corp is 8.14, ranking 41/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. Its current P/E ratio is 19.67, which is 46.06% below the recent high of 28.73 and 83.82% above the recent low of 3.18.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.14
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 43/122
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current earnings forecast score of Marathon Petroleum Corp is 7.20, ranking 59/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. The average price target for Marathon Petroleum Corp is 201.00, with a high of 231.00 and a low of 168.94.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.20
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 20 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
201.173
Target Price
+6.07%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

26
Total
7
Median
9
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
20
Exxon Mobil Corp
XOM
29
BP PLC
BP
22
Phillips 66
PSX
22
Valero Energy Corp
VLO
21
HF Sinclair Corp
DINO
17
1
2
3
4
5

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current price momentum score of Marathon Petroleum Corp is 6.55, ranking 84/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 197.33 and the support level at 179.17, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.41
Change
0.14

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(3)
Neutral(1)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-1.656
Sell
RSI(14)
40.860
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
16.311
Oversold
ATR(14)
4.269
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
-170.680
Sell
Williams %R
89.466
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
-0.093
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Oversold
Moving Average
Sell(4)
Neutral(0)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
188.084
Sell
MA10
189.289
Sell
MA20
191.214
Sell
MA50
190.945
Sell
MA100
183.910
Buy
MA200
168.437
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current institutional shareholding score of Marathon Petroleum Corp is 7.00, ranking 32/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 76.54%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 3.96%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 38.20M shares, representing 12.71% of shares outstanding, with 12.19% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
38.72M
+11.28%
State Street Investment Management (US)
18.44M
-5.27%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
16.14M
+0.36%
Wellington Management Company, LLP
11.68M
-1.24%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
8.01M
+14.81%
Boston Partners
6.16M
+13.13%
Harris Associates L.P.
Star Investors
4.13M
+93.21%
Raymond James & Associates, Inc.
3.76M
-0.29%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
3.05M
+19.01%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
3.70M
-11.63%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-12

The current risk assessment score of Marathon Petroleum Corp is 8.78, ranking 25/122 in the Oil & Gas industry. The company's beta value is 0.72. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.78
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.72
VaR
+3.30%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+25.45%
240-Day Volatility
+36.37%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+3.94%
120 days
+3.94%
5 years
+10.86%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-6.13%
120 days
-6.13%
5 years
-13.06%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+0.18
120 days
+1.07
5 years
+0.99

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+25.45%
3 years
+45.90%
5 years
+45.90%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+1.45
3 years
+0.37
5 years
+0.98
Skewness
240 days
-0.75
3 years
-0.57
5 years
-0.37

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+36.37%
5 years
+34.41%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.62%
5 years
+1.98%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+134.66%
240 days
+134.66%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+24.28%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+27.76%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.71%
120 days
+0.81%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-23.51%
60 days
-10.31%
120 days
+1.53%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
Marathon Petroleum Corp
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
7.21 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Permian Resources Corp
Permian Resources Corp
PR
8.85 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Matador Resources Co
Matador Resources Co
MTDR
8.67 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Chord Energy Corp
Chord Energy Corp
CHRD
8.55 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Devon Energy Corp
Devon Energy Corp
DVN
8.41 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips
COP
8.37 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Marathon Petroleum Corp based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Marathon Petroleum Corp’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

To generate the financial health score of Marathon Petroleum Corp, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Marathon Petroleum Corp's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Marathon Petroleum Corp.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

To generate the company valuation score of Marathon Petroleum Corp, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Marathon Petroleum Corp’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Marathon Petroleum Corp’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Marathon Petroleum Corp.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Marathon Petroleum Corp, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Marathon Petroleum Corp’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

When generating the price momentum score for Marathon Petroleum Corp, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Marathon Petroleum Corp’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Marathon Petroleum Corp.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Marathon Petroleum Corp, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Marathon Petroleum Corp’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Marathon Petroleum Corp.

How do we generate the risk management score of Marathon Petroleum Corp?

To assess the risk management score of Marathon Petroleum Corp, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Marathon Petroleum Corp’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Marathon Petroleum Corp.
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