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Greenfire Resources Ltd

GFR
4.540USD
+0.070+1.57%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
359.03MMarket Cap
3.67P/E TTM

Greenfire Resources Ltd

4.540
+0.070+1.57%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Greenfire Resources Ltd

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

Key Insights

Greenfire Resources Ltd's fundamentals are relatively very healthy, and its growth potential is significant.Its valuation is considered overvalued, ranking 71/120 in the Oil & Gas industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Hold, with the highest price target at 7.11.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.Despite a weak stock market performance over the past month, the company shows strong fundamentals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Greenfire Resources Ltd's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
71 / 120
Overall Ranking
269 / 4578
Industry
Oil & Gas

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 1 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
7.107
Target Price
+44.45%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Greenfire Resources Ltd Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in the exploration, development and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. Its operations include Thermal Oil Operations, Top Quality Reservoir, Hangingstone Facilities, Infrastructure & Pipelines and Cooperation with Trafigura. Its operations in the Canadian oil sands leverage in situ thermal oil development to access Western Canada’s energy resources. It operates over two steam-assisted gravity drainage(SAGD) oil production facilities within the same reservoir at Hangingstone, situated approximately 50 kilometers (km) south of Fort McMurray in Northern Alberta. Its Demo Asset is located over 50 km south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. It has 100% working interest and is an operator. The Expansion Asset and Demo Asset (together the Hangingstone Facilities) have a SAGD reservoir.
Turnaround to Profit
The company's performance has turned profitable, with the latest annual net income of USD .
Undervalued
The company’s latest PB is 0.56, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 49.74M shares, decreasing 23.25% quarter-over-quarter.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

The current financial score of Greenfire Resources Ltd is 6.40, ranking 97/120 in the Oil & Gas industry. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 96.86M, representing a year-over-year decrease of 26.22%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year decrease of 114.84%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.40
Change
0

Financials

9.92

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

2.42

Operational Efficiency

7.69

Growth Potential

5.37

Shareholder Returns

6.60

Greenfire Resources Ltd's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

The current valuation score of Greenfire Resources Ltd is 7.98, ranking 52/120 in the Oil & Gas industry. Its current P/E ratio is 3.61, which is 445.71% below the recent high of 19.71 and 230.57% above the recent low of -4.72.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.98
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 71/120
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

The current earnings forecast score of Greenfire Resources Ltd is 6.00, ranking 85/120 in the Oil & Gas industry. The average price target for Greenfire Resources Ltd is 7.11, with a high of 7.11 and a low of 7.11.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.00
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 1 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
7.107
Target Price
+44.45%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

68
Total
8
Median
11
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Greenfire Resources Ltd
GFR
1
EOG Resources Inc
EOG
34
Diamondback Energy Inc
FANG
33
Devon Energy Corp
DVN
32
APA Corp (US)
APA
31
ConocoPhillips
COP
30
1
2
3
...
14

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

The current price momentum score of Greenfire Resources Ltd is 5.83, ranking 110/120 in the Oil & Gas industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 5.16 and the support level at 3.96, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.40
Change
0.43

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(3)
Neutral(4)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.107
Neutral
RSI(14)
46.154
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
41.638
Neutral
ATR(14)
0.256
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
-73.988
Neutral
Williams %R
73.333
Sell
TRIX(12,20)
-0.097
Sell
StochRSI(14)
48.732
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(2)
Neutral(0)
Buy(4)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
4.486
Buy
MA10
4.542
Sell
MA20
4.715
Sell
MA50
4.500
Buy
MA100
4.366
Buy
MA200
4.283
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Waterous Energy Fund Management Corp.
28.40M
-27.72%
Annapurna Ltd
6.90M
+4.55%
Encompass Capital Advisors, LLC
4.95M
+3.00%
Goldman Sachs & Company, Inc.
3.67M
--
Logan (Robert Bahr)
3.47M
+4.05%
BW Gestão de Investimentos Ltda.
3.30M
+95.82%
Luxor Capital Group, L.P.
1.94M
-6.56%
Nokomis Capital LLC
1.16M
--
Sona Asset Management (UK) LLP
1.16M
-17.24%
Wexford Capital LP
1.12M
+2.67%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-22

The current risk assessment score of Greenfire Resources Ltd is 3.19, ranking 105/120 in the Oil & Gas industry. The company's beta value is 0.00. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.19
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
--
VaR
--
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+48.99%
240-Day Volatility
+62.24%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+6.24%
120 days
+8.26%
5 years
--
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-8.17%
120 days
-8.17%
5 years
--
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+0.56
120 days
+0.76
5 years
--

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+48.99%
3 years
+100.00%
5 years
--
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.77
3 years
-0.19
5 years
--
Skewness
240 days
-0.18
3 years
-0.87
5 years
--

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+62.24%
5 years
--
Standardised True Range
240 days
+5.39%
5 years
--
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+140.07%
240 days
+140.07%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+43.34%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+40.78%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.07%
120 days
+0.11%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-39.01%
60 days
-40.85%
120 days
-6.04%

Peer Comparison

Oil & Gas
Greenfire Resources Ltd
Greenfire Resources Ltd
GFR
6.18 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Permian Resources Corp
Permian Resources Corp
PR
8.41 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Infinity Natural Resources Inc
Infinity Natural Resources Inc
INR
8.40 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips
COP
8.30 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Matador Resources Co
Matador Resources Co
MTDR
8.25 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Gulfport Energy Corp
Gulfport Energy Corp
GPOR
8.17 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Greenfire Resources Ltd based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Greenfire Resources Ltd’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

To generate the financial health score of Greenfire Resources Ltd, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Greenfire Resources Ltd's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Greenfire Resources Ltd.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

To generate the company valuation score of Greenfire Resources Ltd, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Greenfire Resources Ltd’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Greenfire Resources Ltd’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Greenfire Resources Ltd.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Greenfire Resources Ltd, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Greenfire Resources Ltd’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

When generating the price momentum score for Greenfire Resources Ltd, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Greenfire Resources Ltd’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Greenfire Resources Ltd.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Greenfire Resources Ltd, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Greenfire Resources Ltd’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Greenfire Resources Ltd.

How do we generate the risk management score of Greenfire Resources Ltd?

To assess the risk management score of Greenfire Resources Ltd, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Greenfire Resources Ltd’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Greenfire Resources Ltd.
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