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Geo Group Inc

GEO
14.840USD
-0.140-0.93%
Close 11/11, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
2.07BMarket Cap
8.70P/E TTM

Geo Group Inc

14.840
-0.140-0.93%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Geo Group Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively stable. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite a weak stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Geo Group Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
55 / 160
Overall Ranking
166 / 4611
Industry
Professional & Commercial Services

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 4 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
30.200
Target Price
+99.60%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Geo Group Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PE is 8.69, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 130.72M shares, decreasing 8.04% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Louis Moore Bacon
Star Investor Louis Moore Bacon holds 305.56K shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

The company's current financial score is 6.81, which is lower than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.31. Its financial status is weak, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 636.17M, representing a year-over-year increase of 4.77%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 189.53%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.81
Change
0

Financials

4.89

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
No Data

Quality of Earnings

6.61

Operational Efficiency

7.59

Growth Potential

8.69

Shareholder Returns

6.27

Geo Group Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

The company’s current valuation score is 6.15, which is lower than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.13. Its current P/E ratio is 8.69, which is 1689.05% below the recent high of 155.47 and 26.85% above the recent low of 6.36.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.15
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 55/160
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 8.00, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.66. The average price target for Geo Group Inc is 30.00, with a high of 37.00 and a low of 22.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.00
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 4 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
30.200
Target Price
+101.60%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

74
Total
5
Median
8
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Geo Group Inc
GEO
4
PayPal Holdings Inc
PYPL
45
Block Inc
XYZ
45
Visa Inc
V
41
Fiserv Inc
FI
36
Global Payments Inc
GPN
32
1
2
3
...
15

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

The company’s current price momentum score is 6.92, which is lower than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.10. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 17.14 and the support level at 13.54, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.01
Change
-0.09

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(4)
Neutral(1)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.150
Sell
RSI(14)
25.870
Sell
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
21.049
Neutral
ATR(14)
0.868
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
-149.088
Sell
Williams %R
83.275
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
-0.787
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Oversold
Moving Average
Sell(6)
Neutral(0)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
15.434
Sell
MA10
16.052
Sell
MA20
16.571
Sell
MA50
18.982
Sell
MA100
21.237
Sell
MA200
24.436
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 10.00, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 6.91. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 93.91%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2.68%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 14.76M shares, representing 10.61% of shares outstanding, with 0.37% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
18.84M
+1.01%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
14.87M
+1.78%
Goldman Sachs & Company, Inc.
4.96M
-10.01%
State Street Investment Management (US)
4.92M
+2.05%
Zoley (George C)
4.01M
-3.75%
Continental General Insurance Co
3.90M
+919.75%
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC
3.75M
-5.14%
Wellington Management Company, LLP
3.42M
+31.28%
Anomaly Capital Management, LP
3.37M
+249.38%
Wolf Hill Capital Management LP
3.26M
-57.55%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-10

The company’s current risk assessment score is 5.74, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 5.57. The company's beta value is 0.72. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.74
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.73
VaR
+4.76%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+57.62%
240-Day Volatility
+57.91%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.98%
120 days
+7.98%
5 years
+42.10%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-8.33%
120 days
-11.46%
5 years
-20.38%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-3.04
120 days
-2.68
5 years
+0.46

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+57.62%
3 years
+57.62%
5 years
+57.62%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.83
3 years
+0.19
5 years
+0.23
Skewness
240 days
+0.05
3 years
+2.95
5 years
+2.28

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+57.91%
5 years
+54.88%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+8.44%
5 years
+3.90%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-358.47%
240 days
-358.47%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+33.78%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+36.84%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+2.32%
120 days
+2.22%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+28.88%
60 days
+11.22%
120 days
+6.37%

Peer Comparison

Professional & Commercial Services
Geo Group Inc
Geo Group Inc
GEO
7.18 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
S&P Global Inc
S&P Global Inc
SPGI
8.54 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Huron Consulting Group Inc
Huron Consulting Group Inc
HURN
8.47 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Brinks Co
Brinks Co
BCO
8.38 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Genpact Ltd
Genpact Ltd
G
8.34 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Casella Waste Systems Inc
Casella Waste Systems Inc
CWST
8.30 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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