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Geo Group Inc

GEO
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22.920USD
-0.470-2.01%
Close 05/15, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
3.06BMarket Cap
11.48P/E TTM

Geo Group Inc

22.920
-0.470-2.01%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Geo Group Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

Key Insights

Geo Group Inc's fundamentals are relatively stable, with an industry-leading ESG disclosure.and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 29 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 28.80.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to trend up.The company has been performing strongly in the stock market over the past month, which is supported by its strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Geo Group Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
29 / 157
Overall Ranking
107 / 4482
Industry
Professional & Commercial Services

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Media Coverage

Last 24 hours
Coverage Level

Very Low
Very High
Neutral

Geo Group Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 2.63B.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PE is 11.48, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 131.42M shares, decreasing 10.74% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by HACAX
Star Investor HACAX holds 52.99K shares of this stock.

Analyst Rating

Based on 4 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
28.800
Target Price
+23.13%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

The current financial score of Geo Group Inc is 6.25, ranking 130 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry. Its financial status is weak, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 705.21M, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.63%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 96.00%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.25
Change
0

Financials

5.74

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

2.75

Operational Efficiency

6.02

Growth Potential

9.96

Shareholder Returns

6.76

Geo Group Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

The current valuation score of Geo Group Inc is 6.15, ranking 107 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry. Its current P/E ratio is 11.48, which is 1254.30% below the recent high of 155.47 and 44.63% above the recent low of 6.36.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.15
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 29/157
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

The current earnings forecast score of Geo Group Inc is 8.00, ranking 33 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry. The average price target is 30.00, with a high of 37.00 and a low of 22.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.00
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 4 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
28.800
Target Price
+23.13%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

82
Total
5
Median
9
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Geo Group Inc
GEO
4
PayPal Holdings Inc
PYPL
45
Block Inc
XYZ
45
Visa Inc
V
42
Fiserv Ord Shs
FISV
37
Fiserv Inc
FI
37
1
2
3
...
17

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

The current price momentum score of Geo Group Inc is 9.64, ranking 2 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 24.82 and the support level at 19.63, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.77
Change
-0.13

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(1)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.604
Buy
RSI(14)
70.067
Buy
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
88.908
Overbought
ATR(14)
1.090
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
98.219
Neutral
Williams %R
9.827
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
0.966
Sell
StochRSI(14)
43.656
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
22.356
Buy
MA10
21.390
Buy
MA20
20.082
Buy
MA50
18.013
Buy
MA100
16.992
Buy
MA200
17.914
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

The current institutional shareholding score of Geo Group Inc is 10.00, ranking 1 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 98.35%, representing a quarter-over-quarter increase of 3.83%. The largest institutional shareholder is Invesco, holding a total of 918.72K shares, representing 0.69% of shares outstanding, with 15.92% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
18.69M
+1.08%
UBS Financial Services, Inc.
3.37M
-6.39%
Pentwater Capital Management LP
5.85M
+12.76%
State Street Investment Management (US)
4.96M
+2.62%
Continental General Insurance Co
4.68M
+10.11%
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC
4.65M
-6.47%
Turiya Advisors Asia Limited
5.64M
--
Goldman Sachs & Company, Inc.
4.33M
+3.65%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-15

The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a neutral state, which has a neutral effect on the Professional & Commercial Services domestic-focused industry. The Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies, including the euro, yen, pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. The current risk assessment score of Geo Group Inc is 6.28, ranking 76 out of 157 in the Professional & Commercial Services industry. The company's beta value is 0.85. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets. with an industry-leading ESG disclosure.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.28
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.86
VaR
+4.41%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+51.03%
240-Day Volatility
+53.52%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+20.92%
120 days
+20.92%
5 years
+42.10%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-13.45%
120 days
-14.91%
5 years
-16.23%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+3.12
120 days
+1.82
5 years
+0.74

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+51.03%
3 years
+62.49%
5 years
+62.49%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.30
3 years
+1.15
5 years
+0.66
Skewness
240 days
+0.24
3 years
+2.81
5 years
+1.98

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+53.52%
5 years
+52.29%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+3.67%
5 years
+2.73%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+237.38%
240 days
+237.38%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+60.13%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+48.28%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.71%
120 days
+1.52%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-27.49%
60 days
-10.19%
120 days
-20.24%

Peer Comparison

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Geo Group Inc
Geo Group Inc
GEO
7.64 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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8.43 /10
Score
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KFY
8.41 /10
Score
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Ennis Inc
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8.35 /10
Score
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8.34 /10
Score
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