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Geo Group Inc

GEO

21.810USD

-0.170-0.77%
Close 09/19, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
3.08BMarket Cap
34.34P/E TTM

Geo Group Inc

21.810

-0.170-0.77%

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively healthy. Its valuation is considered undervalued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite an average stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
38 / 167
Overall Ranking
135 / 4720
Industry
Professional & Commercial Services

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 4 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
37.800
Target Price
+71.97%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Company Highlights

StrengthsRisks
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PE is 33.11, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 136.62M shares, decreasing 3.33% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by The Vanguard
Star Investor The Vanguard holds 14.87M shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company's current financial score is 7.84, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.40. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 636.17M, representing a year-over-year increase of 4.77%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 189.53%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.84
Change
0

Financials

6.03

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents

Total assets

Total liabilities

Free cash flow

No Data

Quality of Earnings

8.28

Operational Efficiency

7.49

Growth Potential

9.93

Shareholder Returns

7.45

Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current valuation score is 1.80, which is lower than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 2.38. Its current P/E ratio is 33.36, which is 273.27% below the recent high of 124.54 and -11.42% above the recent low of 37.17.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
1.80
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E

P/B

P/S

P/CF

Industry Ranking 38/167
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 8.40, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.62. The average price target for Geo Group Inc is 37.00, with a high of 45.00 and a low of 30.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.40
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 4 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
37.800
Target Price
+73.31%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

74
Total
5
Median
7
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Geo Group Inc
GEO
4
Block Inc
XYZ
44
PayPal Holdings Inc
PYPL
43
Fiserv Inc
FI
34
Global Payments Inc
GPN
30
United Rentals Inc
URI
22
1
2
3
...
15

Financial Forecasting

EPS

Revenue

Net Profit

EBIT

No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current price momentum score is 8.85, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.29. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 23.34 and the support level at 20.43, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.85
Change
-1.4

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(6)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.371
Neutral
RSI(14)
49.775
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
53.813
Neutral
ATR(14)
0.803
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
47.507
Neutral
Williams %R
46.392
Neutral
TRIX(12,20)
-0.045
Sell
StochRSI(14)
45.986
Neutral
Moving Average
Sell(4)
Neutral(0)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
21.858
Sell
MA10
21.791
Buy
MA20
21.351
Buy
MA50
22.703
Sell
MA100
24.595
Sell
MA200
26.566
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 10.00, which is higher than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 7.77. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 96.50%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.62%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 14.87M shares, representing 10.50% of shares outstanding, with 0.60% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
18.65M
-2.33%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
14.61M
-1.15%
Goldman Sachs & Company, Inc.
5.51M
+3.91%
State Street Global Advisors (US)
4.82M
-2.34%
Zoley (George C)
4.37M
+5.34%
Cooper Creek Partners Management LLC
3.95M
+43.30%
Wellington Management Company, LLP
2.61M
+312.71%
Wolf Hill Capital Management LP
7.69M
+14.69%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current risk assessment score is 4.01, which is lower than the Professional & Commercial Services industry's average of 4.25. The company's beta value is 0.78. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
4.01
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.78
VaR
+4.76%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+42.72%
240-Day Volatility
+63.93%
Return
Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.98%
120 days
+7.98%
5 years
+42.10%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-11.46%
120 days
-11.46%
5 years
-20.38%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-0.33
120 days
-1.02
5 years
+0.57
Risk Assessment
Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+42.72%
3 years
+43.40%
5 years
+47.37%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+1.60
3 years
+1.27
5 years
+0.53
Skewness
240 days
+4.03
3 years
+2.84
5 years
+2.29
Volatility
Realised Volatility
240 days
+63.93%
5 years
+54.98%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+6.05%
5 years
+2.60%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-139.26%
240 days
-139.26%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+32.35%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+33.79%
Liquidity
Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+2.32%
120 days
+2.22%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+28.88%
60 days
+11.22%
120 days
+6.37%

Peer Comparison

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Geo Group Inc
Geo Group Inc
GEO
6.80 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
RB Global Inc
RB Global Inc
RBA
8.12 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
UL Solutions Inc
UL Solutions Inc
ULS
7.75 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Upwork Inc
Upwork Inc
UPWK
7.69 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Exlservice Holdings Inc
Exlservice Holdings Inc
EXLS
7.56 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
CoreCivic Inc
CoreCivic Inc
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7.55 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
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