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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

FWRG
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10.820USD
+0.040+0.37%
Market hours ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
666.78MMarket Cap
37.50P/E TTM

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

10.820
+0.040+0.37%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

Key Insights

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's fundamentals are relatively healthy, with an industry-leading ESG disclosure.and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 31 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 19.00.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to trend down.Despite a weak stock market performance over the past month, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
31 / 120
Overall Ranking
132 / 4487
Industry
Hotels & Entertainment Services

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Media Coverage

Last 24 hours
Coverage Level

Very Low
Very High
Neutral

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is a daytime dining concept company. The Company is engaged in serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch using fresh ingredients. Its menu includes elevated executions of classic favorites alongside specialties, such as its Quinoa Power Bowl, Lemon Ricotta Pancakes, Chickichanga, Morning Meditation fresh juice and signature Million Dollar Bacon. It operates and franchises restaurants in 29 states operating under the First Watch trade name, which are focused on made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch. It uses a variety of marketing channels, including affiliate partnerships, social media interactions, digital marketing, direct mailers, public relations initiatives and local community sponsorships, e-mail communications, promotions and partnerships. The Company operates restaurants through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Restaurants, Inc., and is a franchisor through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Franchise Development Co.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 37.12% year-on-year.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PE is 37.36, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 81.18M shares, decreasing 3.89% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by PRFDX
Star Investor PRFDX holds 5.53K shares of this stock.
Lower Market Activity
The company has less investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of 0.34.

Analyst Rating

Based on 12 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
19.000
Target Price
+62.67%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

The current financial score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 6.93, ranking 81 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 330.96M, representing a year-over-year increase of 17.26%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 223.88%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.93
Change
0

Financials

6.02

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

7.91

Operational Efficiency

7.01

Growth Potential

6.66

Shareholder Returns

7.05

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

The current valuation score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 7.27, ranking 72 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its current P/E ratio is 37.36, which is 668.15% below the recent high of 286.98 and 15.10% above the recent low of 31.72.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.27
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 31/120
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

The current earnings forecast score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 8.83, ranking 4 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The average price target is 22.00, with a high of 26.00 and a low of 17.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.83
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 12 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
19.000
Target Price
+62.67%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

44
Total
13
Median
15
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
12
Starbucks Corp
SBUX
42
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CMG
40
McDonald's Corp
MCD
38
Domino's Pizza Inc
DPZ
35
Darden Restaurants Inc
DRI
32
1
2
3
...
9

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

The current price momentum score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 6.46, ranking 94 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 12.81 and the support level at 9.75, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.41
Change
0.05

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(2)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.417
Neutral
RSI(14)
32.997
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
5.167
Oversold
ATR(14)
0.585
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
-166.640
Sell
Williams %R
99.257
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
0.024
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Oversold
Moving Average
Sell(6)
Neutral(0)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
11.572
Sell
MA10
12.063
Sell
MA20
12.497
Sell
MA50
11.992
Sell
MA100
13.860
Sell
MA200
15.540
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

The current institutional shareholding score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 10.00, ranking 1 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 131.71%, representing a quarter-over-quarter increase of 15.67%. The largest institutional shareholder is Wasatch Global Investors, holding a total of 441.42K shares, representing 0.72% of shares outstanding, with 7.26% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
5.39M
+112.47%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
3.34M
+17.90%
Neuberger Berman, LLC
3.11M
+103.21%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
2.58M
+5.46%
Woodline Partners LP
2.14M
+64.57%
Riverbridge Partners, LLC
1.10M
-7.78%
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co. LLC
2.08M
-2.99%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-05-13

The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a neutral state, which has a neutral effect on the Hotels & Entertainment Services domestic-focused industry. The Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies, including the euro, yen, pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. The current risk assessment score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 5.83, ranking 68 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The company's beta value is 1.09. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets. with an industry-leading ESG disclosure.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.83
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.09
VaR
--
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+47.26%
240-Day Volatility
+55.73%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+8.44%
120 days
+8.73%
5 years
--
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-20.52%
120 days
-20.52%
5 years
--
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-1.79
120 days
-1.24
5 years
--

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+47.26%
3 years
+60.38%
5 years
--
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.65
3 years
-0.20
5 years
--
Skewness
240 days
-0.43
3 years
-0.19
5 years
--

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+55.73%
5 years
--
Standardised True Range
240 days
+6.80%
5 years
--
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-163.52%
240 days
-163.52%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+47.51%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+53.84%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+2.94%
120 days
+2.49%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+33.52%
60 days
+75.46%
120 days
+48.86%

Peer Comparison

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8.29 /10
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8.12 /10
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8.02 /10
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Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
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8.00 /10
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