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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

FWRG
17.540USD
+0.560+3.30%
Close 02/06, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
1.07BMarket Cap
216.09P/E TTM

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

17.540
+0.560+3.30%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

Key Insights

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's fundamentals are relatively very healthy, with an industry-leading ESG disclosure.and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 4 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 22.18.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to remain stable.The company has been performing well in the stock market over the past month, which is supported by its strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
4 / 120
Overall Ranking
47 / 4521
Industry
Hotels & Entertainment Services

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Media Coverage

Last 24 hours
Coverage Level

Very Low
Very High
Neutral

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is a daytime dining concept company. The Company is engaged in serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch using fresh ingredients. Its menu includes elevated executions of classic favorites alongside specialties, such as its Quinoa Power Bowl, Lemon Ricotta Pancakes, Chickichanga, Morning Meditation fresh juice and signature Million Dollar Bacon. It operates and franchises restaurants in 29 states operating under the First Watch trade name, which are focused on made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch. It uses a variety of marketing channels, including affiliate partnerships, social media interactions, digital marketing, direct mailers, public relations initiatives and local community sponsorships, e-mail communications, promotions and partnerships. The Company operates restaurants through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Restaurants, Inc., and is a franchisor through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Franchise Development Co.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 39.13% year-on-year.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 1.02B.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PE is 216.09, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Held by PRFDX
Star Investor PRFDX holds 4.48K shares of this stock.
Higher Market Activity
The company has more investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of 0.95.

Analyst Rating

Based on 11 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
22.182
Target Price
+26.46%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

The current financial score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 8.47, ranking 24 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 316.02M, representing a year-over-year increase of 25.60%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 41.62%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.47
Change
0

Financials

8.85

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

10.00

Operational Efficiency

8.01

Growth Potential

8.33

Shareholder Returns

7.16

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

The current valuation score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 7.27, ranking 74 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its current P/E ratio is 216.09, which is 32.80% below the recent high of 286.98 and 83.57% above the recent low of 35.51.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.27
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 4/120
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

The current earnings forecast score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 8.91, ranking 4 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The average price target is 22.00, with a high of 26.00 and a low of 17.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.91
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 11 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
22.182
Target Price
+26.46%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

44
Total
11
Median
15
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
11
McDonald's Corp
MCD
39
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CMG
39
Starbucks Corp
SBUX
39
Domino's Pizza Inc
DPZ
35
Darden Restaurants Inc
DRI
33
1
2
3
...
9

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

The current price momentum score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 9.39, ranking 16 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 18.44 and the support level at 15.91, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.18
Change
0.21

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(1)
Buy(3)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.267
Buy
RSI(14)
62.299
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
84.009
Buy
ATR(14)
0.610
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
154.553
Buy
Williams %R
7.645
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
0.138
Sell
StochRSI(14)
100.000
Overbought
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
16.946
Buy
MA10
16.526
Buy
MA20
16.502
Buy
MA50
16.551
Buy
MA100
16.627
Buy
MA200
16.873
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

The current institutional shareholding score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 10.00, ranking 1 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 113.87%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 1.34%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 3.31M shares, representing 5.42% of shares outstanding, with 38.49% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Advent International L.P.
5.29M
-45.41%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
2.88M
+18.03%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
2.84M
+8.17%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
2.54M
+18.36%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
2.44M
+2.92%
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co. LLC
2.15M
-2.02%
Lazard Asset Management, L.L.C.
2.13M
-6.65%
Champlain Investment Partners, LLC
1.92M
-1.58%
Manulife Investment Management (North America) Limited
1.75M
-24.98%
Loomis, Sayles & Company, L.P.
1.73M
+50.90%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2026-02-06

The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a neutral state, which has a neutral effect on the Hotels & Entertainment Services domestic-focused industry. The Dollar Index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies, including the euro, yen, pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. The current risk assessment score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 5.83, ranking 69 out of 120 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The company's beta value is 0.88. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets. with an industry-leading ESG disclosure.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.83
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.88
VaR
--
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+30.02%
240-Day Volatility
+61.96%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+8.73%
120 days
+11.04%
5 years
--
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.76%
120 days
-5.76%
5 years
--
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+0.40
120 days
+0.14
5 years
--

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+30.02%
3 years
+47.88%
5 years
--
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.50
3 years
+0.10
5 years
--
Skewness
240 days
+0.18
3 years
+0.21
5 years
--

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+61.96%
5 years
--
Standardised True Range
240 days
+4.78%
5 years
--
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+29.05%
240 days
+29.05%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+34.22%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+24.01%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.57%
120 days
+1.59%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+94.93%
60 days
+44.48%
120 days
+45.93%

Peer Comparison

Hotels & Entertainment Services
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
8.45 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
PRSU
8.73 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Yum China Holdings Inc
Yum China Holdings Inc
YUMC
8.49 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Onespaworld Holdings Ltd
Onespaworld Holdings Ltd
OSW
8.47 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc
HLT
8.43 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Travel + Leisure Co
Travel + Leisure Co
TNL
8.39 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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