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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

FWRG

16.550USD

+0.020+0.12%
Close 09/18, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
1.01BMarket Cap
247.05P/E TTM

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

16.550

+0.020+0.12%

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered undervalued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. The company is performing well in the stock market, with strong fundamentals and technicals supporting the current trend. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
21 / 124
Overall Ranking
124 / 4723
Industry
Hotels & Entertainment Services

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 11 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
22.000
Target Price
+32.13%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Company Highlights

StrengthsRisks
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is a daytime dining concept company. The Company is engaged in serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch using fresh ingredients. The Company’s menu includes elevated executions of classic favorites along with its specialties, such as Quinoa Power Bowl, Farm Stand Breakfast Tacos, Avocado Toast, Chickichanga, Morning Meditation (juiced in-house daily), Spiked Lavender Lemonade and Million Dollar Bacon. The Company operates approximately 520 First Watch restaurants in 29 states. The Company uses a variety of marketing channels, including affiliate partnerships, social media interactions, digital marketing, direct mailers, public relations initiatives and local community sponsorships, email communications, promotions, and partnerships. It also owns the franchise-owned restaurant in Broken Arrow, Okla.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 39.13% year-on-year.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 174.00.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PE is 247.46, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 71.92M shares, decreasing 7.94% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by The Vanguard
Star Investor The Vanguard holds 2.44M shares of this stock.
Higher Market Activity
The company has more investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of 0.95.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

The company's current financial score is 8.38, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 7.48. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 307.89M, representing a year-over-year increase of 19.08%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 76.34%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.38
Change
0

Financials

8.54

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents

Total assets

Total liabilities

Free cash flow

No Data

Quality of Earnings

10.00

Operational Efficiency

8.03

Growth Potential

7.94

Shareholder Returns

7.41

Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

The company’s current valuation score is 1.80, which is lower than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 2.34. Its current P/E ratio is 247.46, which is 4.83% below the recent high of 259.42 and 62.45% above the recent low of 92.91.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
1.80
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E

P/B

P/S

P/CF

Industry Ranking 21/124
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 8.91, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 7.65. The average price target for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 22.00, with a high of 25.00 and a low of 17.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.91
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 11 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
22.000
Target Price
+33.09%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

42
Total
12
Median
15
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
11
Starbucks Corp
SBUX
39
McDonald's Corp
MCD
38
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CMG
37
Domino's Pizza Inc
DPZ
35
Darden Restaurants Inc
DRI
32
1
2
3
...
9

Financial Forecasting

EPS

Revenue

Net Profit

EBIT

No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

The company’s current price momentum score is 6.36, which is lower than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 6.77. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 18.57 and the support level at 15.46, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.33
Change
0.03

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(3)
Neutral(1)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.497
Sell
RSI(14)
35.685
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
8.355
Oversold
ATR(14)
0.622
High Vlolatility
CCI(14)
-112.116
Sell
Williams %R
91.549
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
-0.165
Sell
StochRSI(14)
5.318
Oversold
Moving Average
Sell(6)
Neutral(0)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
16.790
Sell
MA10
17.364
Sell
MA20
18.020
Sell
MA50
17.670
Sell
MA100
17.030
Sell
MA200
18.025
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 10.00, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 7.77. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 117.86%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 3.19%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 2.44M shares, representing 3.99% of shares outstanding, with 3.31% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Advent International L.P.
14.69M
-23.45%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
2.65M
+9.98%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
2.39M
+1.99%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
2.12M
+10.35%
Manulife Investment Management (North America) Limited
1.54M
+0.76%
Lazard Asset Management, L.L.C.
2.01M
-4.25%
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co. LLC
2.23M
-8.46%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
2.27M
+832.14%
Champlain Investment Partners, LLC
2.09M
-19.09%
JP Morgan Asset Management
1.87M
+1.38%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated2025-09-17

The company’s current risk assessment score is 5.02, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 4.34. The company's beta value is 0.91. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.02
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.91
VaR
--
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+32.88%
240-Day Volatility
+62.60%
Return
Best Daily Return
60 days
+9.37%
120 days
+15.07%
5 years
--
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-7.20%
120 days
-17.62%
5 years
--
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+0.61
120 days
+0.13
5 years
--
Risk Assessment
Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+32.88%
3 years
+47.88%
5 years
--
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+0.31
3 years
+0.00
5 years
--
Skewness
240 days
+0.25
3 years
+0.03
5 years
--
Volatility
Realised Volatility
240 days
+62.60%
5 years
--
Standardised True Range
240 days
+5.36%
5 years
--
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+17.75%
240 days
+17.75%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+45.48%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+31.49%
Liquidity
Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.57%
120 days
+1.59%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+94.93%
60 days
+44.48%
120 days
+45.93%

Peer Comparison

Hotels & Entertainment Services
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
6.92 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Viking Holdings Ltd
Viking Holdings Ltd
VIK
8.09 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Potbelly Corp
Potbelly Corp
PBPB
7.80 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
PRSU
7.73 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd
ATAT
7.68 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Cinemark Holdings Inc
Cinemark Holdings Inc
CNK
7.51 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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