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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

FWRG
15.850USD
-0.640-3.88%
Close 11/03, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
967.23MMarket Cap
236.60P/E TTM

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

15.850
-0.640-3.88%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite an average stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
9 / 127
Overall Ranking
85 / 4617
Industry
Hotels & Entertainment Services

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 11 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
22.273
Target Price
+35.07%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is a daytime dining concept company. The Company is engaged in serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch using fresh ingredients. The Company’s menu includes elevated executions of classic favorites along with its specialties, such as Quinoa Power Bowl, Farm Stand Breakfast Tacos, Avocado Toast, Chickichanga, Morning Meditation (juiced in-house daily), Spiked Lavender Lemonade and Million Dollar Bacon. The Company operates approximately 520 First Watch restaurants in 29 states. The Company uses a variety of marketing channels, including affiliate partnerships, social media interactions, digital marketing, direct mailers, public relations initiatives and local community sponsorships, email communications, promotions, and partnerships. It also owns the franchise-owned restaurant in Broken Arrow, Okla.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 39.13% year-on-year.
High Profit Growth
The company's net income leads the industry, with the latest annual income totaling USD 1.02B.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PE is 237.28, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 64.15M shares, decreasing 11.17% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Lee Ainslie
Star Investor Lee Ainslie holds 278.07K shares of this stock.
Higher Market Activity
The company has more investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of 0.95.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

The company's current financial score is 8.55, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 7.37. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 307.89M, representing a year-over-year increase of 19.08%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 76.34%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.55
Change
0

Financials

8.52

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
No Data

Quality of Earnings

10.00

Operational Efficiency

8.46

Growth Potential

8.26

Shareholder Returns

7.50

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

The company’s current valuation score is 7.27, which is lower than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 7.45. Its current P/E ratio is 237.28, which is 20.95% below the recent high of 286.98 and 85.03% above the recent low of 35.51.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.27
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 9/127
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 8.91, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 7.62. The average price target for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is 22.00, with a high of 26.00 and a low of 17.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.91
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 11 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
22.273
Target Price
+35.07%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

42
Total
12
Median
16
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
11
Starbucks Corp
SBUX
41
McDonald's Corp
MCD
40
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CMG
38
Domino's Pizza Inc
DPZ
36
Darden Restaurants Inc
DRI
34
1
2
3
...
9

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

The company’s current price momentum score is 6.87, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 6.83. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 18.09 and the support level at 14.35, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.17
Change
-0.3

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(3)
Neutral(2)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.382
Neutral
RSI(14)
38.049
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
16.743
Sell
ATR(14)
0.752
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
-178.106
Sell
Williams %R
87.749
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
0.262
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Oversold
Moving Average
Sell(6)
Neutral(0)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
16.716
Sell
MA10
17.495
Sell
MA20
17.125
Sell
MA50
17.133
Sell
MA100
17.093
Sell
MA200
17.633
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 10.00, which is higher than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 6.64. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 105.12%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 10.81%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 2.44M shares, representing 3.99% of shares outstanding, with 3.31% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Advent International L.P.
5.29M
-45.41%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
2.62M
-1.16%
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
2.44M
+2.06%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
2.37M
+11.79%
Manulife Investment Management (North America) Limited
2.34M
+51.71%
Lazard Asset Management, L.L.C.
2.28M
+13.41%
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co. LLC
2.19M
-1.71%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
2.14M
-5.59%
Champlain Investment Partners, LLC
1.95M
-6.51%
JP Morgan Asset Management
1.90M
+1.50%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-11-03

The company’s current risk assessment score is 5.74, which is lower than the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry's average of 5.79. The company's beta value is 0.88. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.74
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.88
VaR
--
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+32.88%
240-Day Volatility
+60.94%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.82%
120 days
+9.37%
5 years
--
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-4.44%
120 days
-7.20%
5 years
--
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-1.02
120 days
-0.03
5 years
--

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+32.88%
3 years
+47.88%
5 years
--
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.40
3 years
+0.09
5 years
--
Skewness
240 days
+0.07
3 years
+0.11
5 years
--

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+60.94%
5 years
--
Standardised True Range
240 days
+5.47%
5 years
--
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-6.11%
240 days
-6.11%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+28.92%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+29.14%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.57%
120 days
+1.59%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+94.93%
60 days
+44.48%
120 days
+45.93%

Peer Comparison

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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
7.96 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Cinemark Holdings Inc
Cinemark Holdings Inc
CNK
8.55 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Onespaworld Holdings Ltd
Onespaworld Holdings Ltd
OSW
8.40 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Churchill Downs Inc
Churchill Downs Inc
CHDN
8.39 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
PRSU
8.24 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd
ATAT
8.11 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
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