tradingkey.logo

Churchill Downs Inc

CHDN
113.330USD
+0.840+0.75%
Close 12/08, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
7.91BMarket Cap
20.45P/E TTM

Churchill Downs Inc

113.330
+0.840+0.75%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Churchill Downs Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

Key Insights

Churchill Downs Inc's fundamentals are relatively healthy, and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 2/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 134.93.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to trend up.The company has been performing strongly in the stock market over the past month, which is supported by its strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Churchill Downs Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
2 / 125
Overall Ranking
41 / 4582
Industry
Hotels & Entertainment Services

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 13 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
134.932
Target Price
+19.95%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Churchill Downs Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Churchill Downs Incorporated is a racing, online wagering and gaming entertainment company, which is anchored by its flagship event, the Kentucky Derby. The Company owns and operates 14 live and historical racing entertainment venues in three states and nine casino gaming properties in eight states and 13 retail sportsbooks. It also operates an online horse racing wagering platform in the United States. Its segments include Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia and New Hampshire. The TwinSpires segment includes the TwinSpires Horse Racing, the TwinSpires Sports and Casino and the United Tote businesses. It also provides technology to support historical horse racing operations in Kentucky, Wyoming and New Hampshire. Gaming segment is engaged in the casino properties and associated racetrack facilities.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 51.08% year-on-year.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 7.10%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 7.10%.
Fairly Valued
The company’s latest PE is 20.30, at a medium 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 58.93M shares, decreasing 3.18% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by CI Select Canadian Equity Fund
Star Investor CI Select Canadian Equity Fund holds 352.00 shares of this stock.
Lower Market Activity
The company has less investor interest, with a 20-day turnover ratio of -0.02.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The current financial score of Churchill Downs Inc is 8.89, ranking 6/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 683.00M, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.67%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 41.15%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.89
Change
0

Financials

6.71

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

8.71

Operational Efficiency

9.16

Growth Potential

10.00

Shareholder Returns

9.88

Churchill Downs Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The current valuation score of Churchill Downs Inc is 7.75, ranking 65/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its current P/E ratio is 20.30, which is 51.91% below the recent high of 30.84 and 23.51% above the recent low of 15.53.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.75
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 2/125
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The current earnings forecast score of Churchill Downs Inc is 8.46, ranking 14/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The average price target for Churchill Downs Inc is 132.11, with a high of 155.00 and a low of 115.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.46
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 13 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
134.932
Target Price
+19.95%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

23
Total
11
Median
13
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Churchill Downs Inc
CHDN
13
Draftkings Inc
DKNG
37
Flutter Entertainment PLC
FLUT
26
MGM Resorts International
MGM
25
PENN Entertainment Inc
PENN
21
Las Vegas Sands Corp
LVS
21
1
2
3
4
5

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The current price momentum score of Churchill Downs Inc is 9.53, ranking 2/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 120.34 and the support level at 98.70, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.67
Change
-0.14

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(0)
Buy(3)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
1.237
Buy
RSI(14)
74.994
Buy
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
87.132
Overbought
ATR(14)
2.716
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
100.585
Buy
Williams %R
7.081
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
0.569
Sell
StochRSI(14)
37.570
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(0)
Neutral(0)
Buy(6)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
112.339
Buy
MA10
110.383
Buy
MA20
105.977
Buy
MA50
99.786
Buy
MA100
101.127
Buy
MA200
101.843
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The current institutional shareholding score of Churchill Downs Inc is 7.00, ranking 48/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 84.51%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 8.15%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 6.34M shares, representing 9.10% of shares outstanding, with 2.77% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
6.63M
-1.85%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
6.01M
-5.57%
Capital International Investors
2.66M
+180.73%
The London Company of Virginia, LLC
2.99M
+38.69%
State Street Investment Management (US)
2.05M
-6.46%
Carstanjen (William C)
1.59M
--
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
2.13M
-17.69%
Jennison Associates LLC
956.94K
-7.17%
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership
923.69K
+38.35%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
1.37M
-1.88%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The current risk assessment score of Churchill Downs Inc is 7.87, ranking 29/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The company's beta value is 0.68. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.87
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.68
VaR
+2.94%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+35.34%
240-Day Volatility
+30.52%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.75%
120 days
+7.75%
5 years
+14.07%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-3.40%
120 days
-3.40%
5 years
-16.23%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+2.16
120 days
+1.35
5 years
+0.16

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+35.34%
3 years
+41.81%
5 years
+41.81%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.43
3 years
-0.07
5 years
-0.01
Skewness
240 days
-1.59
3 years
-0.26
5 years
+0.06

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+30.52%
5 years
+31.82%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.46%
5 years
+2.79%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+261.60%
240 days
+261.60%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+29.35%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+20.60%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.87%
120 days
+1.05%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-1.73%
60 days
+24.01%
120 days
+48.94%

Peer Comparison

Hotels & Entertainment Services
Churchill Downs Inc
Churchill Downs Inc
CHDN
8.47 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc
PRSU
8.67 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
FWRG
8.43 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Brinker International Inc
Brinker International Inc
EAT
8.37 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Booking Holdings Inc
Booking Holdings Inc
BKNG
8.36 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Travel + Leisure Co
Travel + Leisure Co
TNL
8.31 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Churchill Downs Inc?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Churchill Downs Inc based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Churchill Downs Inc’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Churchill Downs Inc?

To generate the financial health score of Churchill Downs Inc, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Churchill Downs Inc's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Churchill Downs Inc.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Churchill Downs Inc?

To generate the company valuation score of Churchill Downs Inc, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Churchill Downs Inc’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Churchill Downs Inc’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Churchill Downs Inc.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Churchill Downs Inc?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Churchill Downs Inc, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Churchill Downs Inc’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Churchill Downs Inc?

When generating the price momentum score for Churchill Downs Inc, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Churchill Downs Inc’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Churchill Downs Inc.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Churchill Downs Inc?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Churchill Downs Inc, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Churchill Downs Inc’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Churchill Downs Inc.

How do we generate the risk management score of Churchill Downs Inc?

To assess the risk management score of Churchill Downs Inc, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Churchill Downs Inc’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Churchill Downs Inc.
KeyAI