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CF Industries Holdings Inc

CF
77.880USD
-2.380-2.97%
Close 12/05, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
12.28BMarket Cap
8.91P/E TTM

CF Industries Holdings Inc

77.880
-2.380-2.97%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of CF Industries Holdings Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered fairly valued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Hold. Despite a weak stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

CF Industries Holdings Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
5 / 70
Overall Ranking
78 / 4582
Industry
Chemicals

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 21 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
93.895
Target Price
+20.56%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

CF Industries Holdings Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products. It owns and operates eight nitrogen manufacturing facilities in North America, including six nitrogen manufacturing facilities in the United States, and two in Canada. Its segments include Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN and Other. The Ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that it manufactures, containing 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen. The results of its Ammonia segment consist of sales of ammonia to external customers for its nitrogen content as a fertilizer, in emissions control and in other industrial applications. The Granular Urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen. Granular urea is produced at its Donaldsonville, Port Neal, and Medicine Hat complexes. The UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). The AN segment produces ammonium nitrate. Its Other segment includes diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 29.80%.
Stable Dividend
The company has regularly paid dividends over the past 5 years, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 29.80%.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PB is 2.53, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 168.27M shares, decreasing 6.33% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by CI Select Canadian Equity Fund
Star Investor CI Select Canadian Equity Fund holds 1.45K shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The company's current financial score is 9.08, which is higher than the Chemicals industry's average of 7.35. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 1.66B, representing a year-over-year increase of 21.09%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 27.90%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
9.08
Change
0

Financials

10.00

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

7.45

Operational Efficiency

9.14

Growth Potential

10.00

Shareholder Returns

8.84

CF Industries Holdings Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The company’s current valuation score is 8.95, which is higher than the Chemicals industry's average of 7.47. Its current P/E ratio is 9.40, which is 61.46% below the recent high of 15.18 and 57.50% above the recent low of 3.99.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.95
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 5/70
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 6.38, which is lower than the Chemicals industry's average of 7.28. The average price target for CF Industries Holdings Inc is 93.00, with a high of 111.00 and a low of 80.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.38
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 21 analysts
Hold
Current Rating
93.895
Target Price
+20.56%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

12
Total
4
Median
9
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
CF Industries Holdings Inc
CF
21
Corteva Inc
CTVA
25
Nutrien Ltd
NTR
24
Mosaic Co
MOS
20
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co
SMG
8
ICL Group Ltd
ICL
4
1
2
3

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The company’s current price momentum score is 6.61, which is lower than the Chemicals industry's average of 7.50. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 83.43 and the support level at 74.41, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.07
Change
-0.46

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(4)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.232
Neutral
RSI(14)
38.678
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
50.865
Neutral
ATR(14)
2.098
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
-28.593
Neutral
Williams %R
82.748
Oversold
TRIX(12,20)
-0.317
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Sell
Moving Average
Sell(6)
Neutral(0)
Buy(0)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
79.234
Sell
MA10
78.716
Sell
MA20
80.409
Sell
MA50
84.184
Sell
MA100
85.908
Sell
MA200
85.061
Sell

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 10.00, which is higher than the Chemicals industry's average of 6.80. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 103.89%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.51%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 19.69M shares, representing 12.62% of shares outstanding, with 2.43% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
10.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
19.74M
-5.80%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
8.35M
-7.98%
State Street Investment Management (US)
7.98M
+2.12%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.
Star Investors
7.29M
-5.50%
Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.
5.79M
-4.46%
Victory Capital Management Inc.
4.53M
+3.93%
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
4.39M
-4.08%
Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC
4.68M
-32.26%
Boston Partners
3.11M
-14.14%
Columbia Threadneedle Investments (US)
3.24M
+0.15%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-05

The company’s current risk assessment score is 8.91, which is higher than the Chemicals industry's average of 5.72. The company's beta value is 0.68. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.91
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.68
VaR
+3.69%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+29.59%
240-Day Volatility
+33.96%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+5.18%
120 days
+5.18%
5 years
+9.53%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.12%
120 days
-7.80%
5 years
-9.01%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
-1.40
120 days
-1.55
5 years
+0.53

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+29.59%
3 years
+33.43%
5 years
+49.10%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.24
3 years
-0.08
5 years
+0.29
Skewness
240 days
-0.63
3 years
-0.20
5 years
-0.08

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+33.96%
5 years
+39.35%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+3.20%
5 years
+3.49%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-208.89%
240 days
-208.89%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+20.45%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+23.76%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+1.76%
120 days
+1.67%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+38.52%
60 days
+35.47%
120 days
+28.80%

Peer Comparison

Chemicals
CF Industries Holdings Inc
CF Industries Holdings Inc
CF
8.10 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Cabot Corp
Cabot Corp
CBT
8.63 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Koppers Holdings Inc
Koppers Holdings Inc
KOP
8.49 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Air Products and Chemicals Inc
Air Products and Chemicals Inc
APD
8.23 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Nutrien Ltd
Nutrien Ltd
NTR
8.16 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Minerals Technologies Inc
Minerals Technologies Inc
MTX
8.07 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of CF Industries Holdings Inc based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of CF Industries Holdings Inc’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

To generate the financial health score of CF Industries Holdings Inc, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects CF Industries Holdings Inc's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of CF Industries Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the company valuation score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

To generate the company valuation score of CF Industries Holdings Inc, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare CF Industries Holdings Inc’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of CF Industries Holdings Inc’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of CF Industries Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of CF Industries Holdings Inc, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on CF Industries Holdings Inc’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

When generating the price momentum score for CF Industries Holdings Inc, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of CF Industries Holdings Inc’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for CF Industries Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

To generate the institutional confidence score of CF Industries Holdings Inc, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about CF Industries Holdings Inc’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of CF Industries Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the risk management score of CF Industries Holdings Inc?

To assess the risk management score of CF Industries Holdings Inc, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of CF Industries Holdings Inc’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of CF Industries Holdings Inc.
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