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Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

ARCO
7.375USD
+0.045+0.61%
Close 12/26, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
1.54BMarket Cap
6.33P/E TTM

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

7.375
+0.045+0.61%
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

Key Insights

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc's fundamentals are relatively healthy, and its growth potential is high.Its valuation is considered fairly valued, ranking 38/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 9.62.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to trend up.Despite an average stock market performance over the past month, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc's Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
38 / 125
Overall Ranking
130 / 4563
Industry
Hotels & Entertainment Services

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 8 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
9.625
Target Price
+33.50%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is a McDonald's franchisee. The Company operates or franchises over 2,140 McDonald's-branded restaurants. It divides its operations into four geographical divisions: Brazil; the Caribbean division, consisting of Aruba, Colombia, Curacao, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States Virgin Islands of Saint Croix and Saint Thomas, and Venezuela; the North Latin America division (NOLAD), consisting of Costa Rica, Mexico and Panama, and the South Latin America division (SLAD), consisting of Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Peru and Uruguay. Its menus feature over three tiers of products: entry-level options, such as its Big Pleasures, Small Prices offerings and Almuerzos Colombianos (Colombian Lunches) in Colombia; core menu options, such as the Big Mac, Happy Meal and Quarter Pounder, and premium options, such as Big Tasty or Angus premium hamburgers and chicken sandwiches and low-calorie or low-sodium products.
High Growth
The company's revenue has grown steadily over the past 3 years, averaging 23.52% year-on-year.
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 33.99%.
Undervalued
The company’s latest PE is 6.33, at a low 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 102.48M shares, decreasing 0.65% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Steven Cohen
Star Investor Steven Cohen holds 24.03K shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

The current financial score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 8.13, ranking 38/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 1.19B, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.22%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 327.19%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.13
Change
0

Financials

6.60

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Quality of Earnings

7.88

Operational Efficiency

7.77

Growth Potential

9.84

Shareholder Returns

8.56

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc's Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

The current valuation score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 8.62, ranking 17/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Its current P/E ratio is 6.33, which is 140.36% below the recent high of 15.21 and 3.12% above the recent low of 6.13.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.62
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 38/125
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

The current earnings forecast score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 8.00, ranking 28/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The average price target for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 9.25, with a high of 12.00 and a low of 7.80.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.00
Change
0

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Analyst Rating

Based on 8 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
9.625
Target Price
+33.50%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

44
Total
11
Median
15
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
ARCO
8
Starbucks Corp
SBUX
40
McDonald's Corp
MCD
39
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CMG
37
Domino's Pizza Inc
DPZ
35
Darden Restaurants Inc
DRI
33
1
2
3
...
9

Financial Forecasting

EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

The current price momentum score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 6.74, ranking 83/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 7.75 and the support level at 7.04, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
6.66
Change
0.08

Support & Resistance

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(1)
Neutral(3)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
-0.023
Neutral
RSI(14)
52.714
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
50.614
Buy
ATR(14)
0.149
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
61.902
Neutral
Williams %R
40.426
Buy
TRIX(12,20)
-0.019
Sell
StochRSI(14)
100.000
Overbought
Moving Average
Sell(1)
Neutral(0)
Buy(5)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
7.276
Buy
MA10
7.302
Buy
MA20
7.386
Sell
MA50
7.278
Buy
MA100
7.110
Buy
MA200
7.340
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

The current institutional shareholding score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 5.00, ranking 78/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 65.47%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.22%. The largest institutional shareholder is Richard Pzena, holding a total of 11.43M shares, representing 5.43% of shares outstanding, with 1.00% increase in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
5.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
Lazard Asset Management, L.L.C.
14.87M
--
Pzena Investment Management, LLC
Star Investors
6.53M
--
Calvo (David Coppel)
9.48M
+45.30%
SPX Equities Gestão de Recursos, Ltda.
4.53M
+80.89%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.
Star Investors
3.40M
-67.69%
A.F.P. Habitat S.A.
2.13M
+11.21%
Private Management Group, Inc.
3.18M
-0.71%
Moerus Capital Management LLC
3.33M
-6.32%
Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC
2.80M
-0.19%
Mirae Asset Global Investments (USA) LLC
3.51M
-9.55%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-26

The current risk assessment score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc is 7.55, ranking 33/125 in the Hotels & Entertainment Services industry. The company's beta value is 0.47. This indicates that the stock tends to underperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences smaller declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.55
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
0.47
VaR
+3.47%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+22.88%
240-Day Volatility
+39.49%

Return

Best Daily Return
60 days
+5.69%
120 days
+9.78%
5 years
+19.94%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-3.43%
120 days
-3.69%
5 years
-9.39%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+1.45
120 days
-0.12
5 years
+0.52

Risk Assessment

Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+22.88%
3 years
+50.04%
5 years
+50.04%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.08
3 years
-0.07
5 years
+0.18
Skewness
240 days
+0.40
3 years
+0.62
5 years
+0.85

Volatility

Realised Volatility
240 days
+39.49%
5 years
+39.21%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+3.07%
5 years
+3.54%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
-26.22%
240 days
-26.22%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+23.66%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+18.39%

Liquidity

Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+0.69%
120 days
+0.76%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
+19.36%
60 days
+12.10%
120 days
+22.79%

Peer Comparison

Hotels & Entertainment Services
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
ARCO
7.53 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Onespaworld Holdings Ltd
Onespaworld Holdings Ltd
OSW
8.56 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Travel + Leisure Co
Travel + Leisure Co
TNL
8.45 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc
HLT
8.39 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd
Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd
ATAT
8.27 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Booking Holdings Inc
Booking Holdings Inc
BKNG
8.24 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more

FAQs

How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points.
These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s performance and outlook.

How do we generate the financial health score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

To generate the financial health score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns.
By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the company valuation score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

To generate the company valuation score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value.
By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

To calculate the earnings forecast score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:
Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.
Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.
By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.
Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps anchor more realistic expectations.
These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s future.

How do we generate the price momentum score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

When generating the price momentum score for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.
Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.
This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

To generate the institutional confidence score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

How do we generate the risk management score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc?

To assess the risk management score of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.
The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.
These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
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