Indicators
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.632
Buy
RSI(14)
71.324
Buy
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
86.328
Neutral
ATR(14)
1.821
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
62.221
Neutral
Williams %R
16.279
Overbought
TRIX(12,20)
1.307
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Oversold
Alcoa Corp
AA53.130USD
-1.250-2.30%
Close 12/31, 16:00（ET）Quotes delayed by 15 min
13.76BMarket Cap
11.43P/E TTM
TradingKey Stock Score
Overall Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Peer Comparison
TradingKey Stock Score of Alcoa Corp
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31Key Insights
Alcoa Corp's fundamentals are relatively healthy, and its growth potential is significant.Its valuation is considered overvalued, ranking 12/119 in the Metals & Mining industry.Institutional ownership is very high.Over the past month, multiple analysts have rated it as Buy, with the highest price target at 42.33.In the medium term, the stock price is expected to trend up.The company has been performing strongly in the stock market over the past month, which is supported by its strong fundamentals and technicals.The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.
Alcoa Corp's Score
Support & Resistance
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Score Analysis
Current score
Previous score
Analyst Rating
Based on
14
analysts
Buy
Current Rating
42.329
Target Price
-4.79%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.
Alcoa Corp Highlights
StrengthsRisks
Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company comprised of bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting), and energy generation. The Company’s operations are comprised of two business segments: Alumina and Aluminum. The Alumina segment primarily consists of its bauxite mines and alumina refineries, which generally include the mining of bauxite and other aluminous ores, as well as the refining, production, and sale of smelter grade and non-metallurgical alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. The Aluminum segment consists of the Company’s aluminum smelting and casting operations along with the Company’s energy production assets in Brazil, Canada, and the United States. It has direct and indirect ownership of 26 operating locations across nine countries on six continents.
Turnaround to Profit
The company's performance has turned profitable, with the latest annual net income of USD .
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 148.33%.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PB is 2.17, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Buying
The latest institutional holdings are 252.51M shares, increasing 0.02% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by Barrow Hanley
Star Investor Barrow Hanley holds 4.25K shares of this stock.
Financial Health
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31The current financial score of Alcoa Corp is 6.30, ranking 79/119 in the Metals & Mining industry. Its financial status is stable, and its operating efficiency is average. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 3.00B, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.13%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 157.78%.
Score
Financials
6.57
Key Metrics
Cash and cash equivalents
Total assets
Total liabilities
Free cash flow
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Quality of Earnings
6.80
Operational Efficiency
6.54
Growth Potential
5.54
Shareholder Returns
6.04
Alcoa Corp's Company Valuation
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31The current valuation score of Alcoa Corp is 8.87, ranking 6/119 in the Metals & Mining industry. Its current P/E ratio is 11.43, which is 1121.84% below the recent high of 139.67 and 42.60% above the recent low of 6.56.
Score
Valuation Dimensions
P/E
P/B
P/S
P/CF
Industry Ranking 12/119
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Earnings Forecast
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31The current earnings forecast score of Alcoa Corp is 7.43, ranking 73/119 in the Metals & Mining industry. The average price target for Alcoa Corp is 42.00, with a high of 55.00 and a low of 33.00.
Score
Support & Resistance
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Analyst Rating
Based on
14
analysts
Buy
Current Rating
42.329
Target Price
-4.79%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell
Peer Comparison
4
Total
3
Median
5
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Alcoa Corp
AA
14
Constellium SE
CSTM
4
Century Aluminum Co
CENX
3
Kaiser Aluminum Corp
KALU
2
Financial Forecasting
EPS
Revenue
Net Profit
EBIT
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.
Price Momentum
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31The current price momentum score of Alcoa Corp is 9.49, ranking 4/119 in the Metals & Mining industry. Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 57.87 and the support level at 45.37, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.
Score
Support & Resistance
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Indicators
The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.
This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.
Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.
Moving Average
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
53.834
Sell
MA10
52.281
Buy
MA20
48.635
Buy
MA50
42.333
Buy
MA100
37.598
Buy
MA200
33.075
Buy
Institutional Confidence
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31The current institutional shareholding score of Alcoa Corp is 10.00, ranking 1/119 in the Metals & Mining industry. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 92.04%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2.34%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 25.12M shares, representing 9.70% of shares outstanding, with 1.85% decrease in holdings.
Score
Institutional Shareholding
Relevant data have not been disclosed by the company yet.
Shareholder Activity
Name
Shares Held
Chg %
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
Eagle Capital Management L.L.C.
Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd
State Street Investment Management (US)
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
L1 Capital Pty Ltd.
UBS Financial Services, Inc.
Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM)
1
2
Risk Assessment
Currency: USD Updated: 2025-12-31The current risk assessment score of Alcoa Corp is 6.10, ranking 37/119 in the Metals & Mining industry. The company's beta value is 1.97. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.
Score
Beta vs S&P 500 index
1.97
VaR
+5.46%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+42.90%
240-Day Volatility
+52.88%
Return
Best Daily Return
60 days
+12.59%
120 days
+12.59%
5 years
+15.23%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.53%
120 days
-5.53%
5 years
-16.94%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+3.34
120 days
+2.39
5 years
+0.50
Risk Assessment
Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+42.90%
3 years
+59.35%
5 years
+76.26%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
+0.85
3 years
+0.05
5 years
+0.25
Skewness
240 days
+0.28
3 years
+0.23
5 years
+0.12
Volatility
Realised Volatility
240 days
+52.88%
5 years
+55.47%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+2.79%
5 years
+3.87%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+454.39%
240 days
+454.39%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+51.30%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+40.53%
Liquidity
Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+2.22%
120 days
+2.39%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-29.72%
60 days
-19.74%
120 days
-13.58%
Peer Comparison
Metals & Mining
Alcoa Corp
AA
7.90 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Newmont Corporation
NEM
8.51 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Anglogold Ashanti PLC
AU
8.29 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Eldorado Gold Corp
EGO
8.29 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
AEM
8.06 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Commercial Metals Co
CMC
8.06 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
View more
FAQs
How does TradingKey generate the Stock Score of Alcoa Corp?
The TradingKey Stock Score provides a comprehensive assessment of Alcoa Corp based on 34 indicators derived from over 100 underlying data points. These indicators are categorised into six key dimensions: financial health, company profile, earnings forecasts, price momentum, institutional confidence, and risk assessment, collectively providing investors with a thorough analysis of Alcoa Corp’s performance and outlook.
How do we generate the financial health score of Alcoa Corp?
To generate the financial health score of Alcoa Corp, we analyse various key financial indicators across several core dimensions, including financial fundamentals, earnings quality, operational efficiency, growth potential, and shareholder returns. By integrating these comprehensive data, the financial health score not only reflects Alcoa Corp's overall stability, operational efficiency, and growth potential but also captures the investment returns delivered to shareholders. This score aims to support rational decision-making for investors and other stakeholders. A higher score indicates a better financial health of Alcoa Corp.
How do we generate the company valuation score of Alcoa Corp?
To generate the company valuation score of Alcoa Corp, we use several key financial ratios, including P/E, P/B, P/S, and P/CF. These metrics compare Alcoa Corp’s market value to its earnings, assets, sales, and cash flow, serving as core indicators for assessing company value. By analysing these ratios in an all-round manner, the valuation score reflects not only the market’s current perception of Alcoa Corp’s value but also its future profitability and growth potential, thereby supporting more informed investment decisions. A higher score indicates a fairer valuation of Alcoa Corp.
How do we generate the earnings forecast score of Alcoa Corp?
To calculate the earnings forecast score of Alcoa Corp, we consider various key indicators such as analyst ratings, financial forecasts, support and resistance levels, and peer comparisons:Current ratings and price targets directly reflect analysts’ expectations, while the upside space indicates their views on the stock’s growth potential.Financial metrics like earnings per share (EPS), revenue, net income, and earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) are core measures for assessing profitability.By analysing the high, median, and low ranges of the target price, we can identify price trends and determine key support and resistance levels.Comparing these indicators against peers provides context for the stock’s performance and helps
anchor more realistic expectations.These factors together form a comprehensive earnings forecast score that accurately reflects the stock’s expected financial performance and growth potential. A higher score suggests that analysts have a more optimistic outlook on Alcoa Corp’s future.
How do we generate the price momentum score of Alcoa Corp?
When generating the price momentum score for Alcoa Corp, we examine momentum indicators including support and resistance levels as well as volume metrics.Support levels represent price points where buying interest is strong enough to prevent further declines, while resistance levels indicate prices where selling pressure may hinder upward movement. By analysing typical price volume alongside total volume, we assess overall market activity and liquidity. These indicators help identify price trends and potential shifts, enabling more accurate predictions of future earnings.This comprehensive approach can reflect market sentiment and enable rational forecasts of Alcoa Corp’s prices. A higher score indicates a more stable short-term price trend for Alcoa Corp.
How do we generate the institutional confidence score of Alcoa Corp?
To generate the institutional confidence score of Alcoa Corp, we analyse both the proportion of shares held by institutions and the number of shares they own. A higher institutional ownership percentage indicates strong confidence of professional investors, which is generally a positive signal about Alcoa Corp’s potential. By examining the number of shares held, we gain deeper insight into institutions’ commitment and attitude toward the stock, as institutional investors typically conduct thorough analysis before making investment decisions. Understanding institutional confidence helps us refine earnings forecasts and provides a more reliable perspective on the company’s future performance and market stability. A higher score indicates greater institutional endorsement of Alcoa Corp.
How do we generate the risk management score of Alcoa Corp?
To assess the risk management score of Alcoa Corp, we examine multiple key indicators related to returns, risk, volatility, and liquidity.The highest and lowest daily returns reflect the potential size of gains and losses, while the Sharpe ratio measures risk-adjusted return performance. On the risk side, we analyse maximum drawdown and the return-to-drawdown ratio to identify extreme loss scenarios. Skewness helps assess the distribution of returns and whether performance may be biased. Volatility indicators—such as realised volatility and standardised true range—reveal price fluctuations. Downside risk-adjusted returns provide insight into potential losses and gains. Lastly, liquidity metrics like average turnover rate and turnover deviation indicate how actively the stock is traded.These indicators together provide a multi-dimensional understanding of Alcoa Corp’s risk-return profile, serving as core factors of the risk management score. A higher score indicates lower risk on the side of Alcoa Corp.
