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Alcoa Corp

AA

32.460USD

-0.260-0.79%
Close 09/19, 16:00ETQuotes delayed by 15 min
8.40BMarket Cap
8.37P/E TTM

Alcoa Corp

32.460

-0.260-0.79%

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Overall Financial Health

Valuation Dimensions

Earnings Forecast

Price Momentum

Institutional Confidence

Risk Assessment

Peer Comparison

TradingKey Stock Score

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

Key Insights

The company's fundamentals are relatively very healthy. Its valuation is considered undervalued,and institutional recognition is very high. Over the past 30 days, multiple analysts have rated the company as a Buy. Despite a weak stock market performance, the company shows strong fundamentals and technicals. The stock price is trading sideways between the support and resistance levels, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Industry Ranking
44 / 141
Overall Ranking
179 / 4720
Industry
Metals & Mining

Support & Resistance

No Data

Score Analysis

Current score
Previous score

Analyst Rating

Based on 13 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
34.560
Target Price
+5.62%
Upside Space
Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Company Highlights

StrengthsRisks
Alcoa Corporation is a vertically integrated aluminum company, which is engaged in bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production (smelting and casting) and energy generation. Its Alumina segment consists of its worldwide refining system, which processes bauxite into alumina. The alumina produced by this segment is sold to internal and external aluminum smelter customers; a portion of the alumina is sold to external customers who process it into industrial chemical products. Its Aluminum segment consists of worldwide smelting and cast house system, which processes alumina into primary aluminum, and portfolio of energy assets in Brazil, Canada and the United States. Its smelting operations produce molten primary aluminum, which is then formed by the casting operations into either common alloy ingot or into value-add ingot products. It owns and controls Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals joint venture that owns, operates or has an interest in bauxite mines and alumina refineries.
Turnaround to Profit
The company's performance has turned profitable, with the latest annual net income of USD 60.00M.%!(EXTRA int=2)
High Dividend
The company is a high dividend payer, with the latest dividend payout ratio of 148.33%.
Overvalued
The company’s latest PB is 1.37, at a high 3-year percentile range.
Institutional Selling
The latest institutional holdings are 201.29M shares, decreasing 7.39% quarter-over-quarter.
Held by The Vanguard
Star Investor The Vanguard holds 25.46M shares of this stock.

Financial Health

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company's current financial score is 8.95, which is higher than the Metals & Mining industry's average of 7.19. Its financial status is robust, and its operating efficiency is high. Its latest quarterly revenue reached 3.02B, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.85%, while its net profit experienced a year-over-year increase of 720.00%.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.95
Change
0

Financials

10.00

Key Metrics

Cash and cash equivalents

Total assets

Total liabilities

Free cash flow

No Data

Quality of Earnings

9.54

Operational Efficiency

8.58

Growth Potential

7.40

Shareholder Returns

9.26

Company Valuation

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current valuation score is 1.80, which is higher than the Metals & Mining industry's average of 1.34. Its current P/E ratio is 7.56, which is -2.41% below the recent high of 7.38 and 9.44% above the recent low of 6.85.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
1.80
Change
0

Valuation Dimensions

P/E

P/B

P/S

P/CF

Industry Ranking 44/141
No Data

Earnings Forecast

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current earnings forecast score is 7.23, which is lower than the Metals & Mining industry's average of 7.61. The average price target for Alcoa Corp is 34.00, with a high of 42.00 and a low of 27.00.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.23
Change
0

Support & Resistance

No Data

Analyst Rating

Based on 13 analysts
Buy
Current Rating
34.560
Target Price
+6.47%
Upside Space
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Sell
Strong Sell

Peer Comparison

4
Total
2
Median
4
Average
Company name
Ratings
Analysts
Alcoa Corp
AA
13
Constellium SE
CSTM
3
Century Aluminum Co
CENX
2
Kaiser Aluminum Corp
KALU
1
1

Financial Forecasting

EPS

Revenue

Net Profit

EBIT

No Data

Data disclaimer: Analyst ratings and target prices are provided by LSEG for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.

Price Momentum

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current price momentum score is 8.36, which is lower than the Metals & Mining industry's average of 8.40. Sideways: Currently, the stock price is trading between the resistance level at 35.01 and the support level at 29.68, making it suitable for range-bound swing trading.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
8.36
Change
-1.44

Support & Resistance

No Data

Indicators

The Indicators feature provides value and direction analysis for various instruments under a selection of technical indicators, together with a technical summary.

This feature includes nine of the commonly used technical indicators: MACD, RSI, KDJ, StochRSI, ATR, CCI, WR, TRIX and MA. You may also adjust the timeframe depending on your needs.

Please note that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and there is no absolute standard for using numerical values to assess direction. The results are for reference only, and we are not responsible for the accuracy of the indicator calculations and summaries.

Indicators
Sell(2)
Neutral(2)
Buy(2)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MACD(12,26,9)
0.101
Buy
RSI(14)
55.150
Neutral
STOCH(KDJ)(9,3,3)
56.513
Sell
ATR(14)
1.206
Low Volatility
CCI(14)
32.627
Neutral
Williams %R
44.307
Buy
TRIX(12,20)
0.299
Sell
StochRSI(14)
0.000
Oversold
Moving Average
Sell(2)
Neutral(0)
Buy(4)
Indicators
Value
Direction
MA5
33.024
Sell
MA10
32.489
Sell
MA20
32.070
Buy
MA50
30.966
Buy
MA100
29.552
Buy
MA200
31.917
Buy

Institutional Confidence

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current institutional recognition score is 7.00, which is higher than the Metals & Mining industry's average of 5.57. The latest institutional shareholding proportion is 77.74%, representing a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 0.89%. The largest institutional shareholder is The Vanguard, holding a total of 25.46M shares, representing 9.83% of shares outstanding, with 1.98% decrease in holdings.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
7.00
Change
0

Institutional Shareholding

No Data

Shareholder Activity

Name
Shares Held
Chg %
The Vanguard Group, Inc.
Star Investors
25.59M
-1.28%
BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
21.15M
-0.85%
Eagle Capital Management L.L.C.
16.58M
+0.66%
Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd
14.31M
+1.88%
State Street Global Advisors (US)
9.78M
+1.09%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.
6.80M
+33.87%
L1 Capital Pty Ltd.
1.73M
--
Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.
4.43M
+4.58%
UBS Financial Services, Inc.
2.06M
-14.82%
Citadel Advisors LLC
2.85M
-37.85%
1
2

Risk Assessment

Currency: USD Updated: 2025-09-19

The company’s current risk assessment score is 3.23, which is lower than the Metals & Mining industry's average of 4.46. The company's beta value is 2.21. This indicates that the stock tends to outperform the index during upward trending markets but experiences larger declines during downward trending markets.

Score

Industry at a Glance

Previous score
3.23
Change
0
Beta vs S&P 500 index
2.20
VaR
+5.66%
240-Day Maximum Drawdown
+52.40%
240-Day Volatility
+51.59%
Return
Best Daily Return
60 days
+7.35%
120 days
+14.58%
5 years
+15.23%
Worst Daily Return
60 days
-5.24%
120 days
-11.38%
5 years
-16.94%
Sharpe Ratio
60 days
+1.44
120 days
+0.22
5 years
+0.42
Risk Assessment
Maximum Drawdown
240 days
+52.40%
3 years
+59.35%
5 years
+76.26%
Return-to-Drawdown Ratio
240 days
-0.31
3 years
-0.08
5 years
+0.10
Skewness
240 days
+0.05
3 years
+0.22
5 years
+0.11
Volatility
Realised Volatility
240 days
+51.59%
5 years
+56.51%
Standardised True Range
240 days
+4.35%
5 years
+6.23%
Downside Risk-Adjusted Return
120 days
+31.05%
240 days
+31.05%
Maximum Daily Upside Volatility
60 days
+37.34%
Maximum Daily Downside Volatility
60 days
+34.12%
Liquidity
Average Turnover Rate
60 days
+2.22%
120 days
+2.39%
5 years
--
Turnover Deviation
20 days
-29.72%
60 days
-19.74%
120 days
-13.58%

Peer Comparison

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Alcoa Corp
Alcoa Corp
AA
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Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd
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7.59 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Royal Gold Inc
Royal Gold Inc
RGLD
7.52 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
AEM
7.46 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp
TFPM
7.45 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
Kinross Gold Corp
Kinross Gold Corp
KGC
7.35 /10
Score
Financial Health
Valuation Dimensions
Earnings Forecast
Price Momentum
Institutional Confidence
Risk Assessment
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